Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marilia vs Guacuano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2012
Marilia Logo

Marilia

2 - 0
FT
Guacuano Logo

Guacuano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marilia in this Paulista A3 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Marilia
15%
Draws
0%
Guacuano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Marilia have won more games recently than Guacuano.
  • Win probability leans Marilia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Marilia Clean Sheet 20%
Guacuano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marilia Guacuano
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2013 Paulista A3
Guacuano vs Marilia
4:1
May 6, 2012 Paulista A3
Guacuano vs Marilia
2:2
Apr 15, 2012 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Guacuano
2:0
Jan 29, 2012 Paulista A3
Guacuano vs Marilia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marilia 85 / 100
Guacuano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marilia Guacuano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marilia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guacuano conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Guacuano lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Marilia found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Marilia VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marilia

(Home)
22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Marilia
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
Page 1 of 7

Guacuano

(Away)
13 Apr
Independente SP
3 : 0
Guacuano
06 Apr
Guacuano
1 : 3
Juventus-SP
02 Apr
Tupa
2 : 0
Guacuano
29 Mar
Sertaozinho
1 : 0
Guacuano
26 Mar
Guacuano
0 : 4
Noroeste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Capivariano 6 4 0 2 7:5 12
3 Batatais 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
4 Internacional de Limeira 6 1 1 4 1:7 4
Promotion - Paulista A3 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GE Osasco 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
2 Juventus-SP 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
3 Guacuano 6 2 3 1 8:8 9
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
Promotion - Paulista A3 2012 (Play Offs)