Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A3 2023 game between Marilia and Itapirense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marilia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Marilia come out ahead of Itapirense on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Marilia taking it.
- Regular Paulista A3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Marilia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marilia | Itapirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Itapirense let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Marilia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Itapirense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Marilia
(Home)Itapirense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marilia | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 25:15 | 29 |
| 2 | Sao Jose EC | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Capivariano | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Gremio Prudente | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Desportivo | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 14:9 | 24 |
| 6 | EC Sao Bernardo | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 7 | Uniao Suzano | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 8 | Matonense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 9 | Bandeirante | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:15 | 20 |
| 10 | Red Bull Brasil | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24:23 | 19 |
| 11 | Rio Preto EC | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:21 | 19 |
| 12 | Itapirense | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 11:17 | 19 |
| 13 | Votuporanguense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 14 | Sertaozinho | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15:26 | 16 |
| 15 | Barretos EC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18:29 | 16 |
| 16 | Audax-SP | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8:19 | 12 |
