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Marinaleda vs Algeciras

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Marinaleda
30%
Draws
35%
Algeciras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeciras lately — more wins on the board than Marinaleda.
  • Model gives Marinaleda a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 20%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marinaleda Algeciras
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs Marinaleda
1:0
Nov 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Algeciras
0:1
Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Algeciras
0:0
Oct 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs Marinaleda
0:0
Apr 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Algeciras
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinaleda 42 / 100
Algeciras 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marinaleda Algeciras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marinaleda's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Marinaleda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Algeciras lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Algeciras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Algeciras
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marinaleda

(Home)
13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1
Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0
Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2
Cordoba B
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Algeciras

(Away)
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0
Atletico Paso
01 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 2
Tottenham U21
23 May
Atl. Madrid B
3 : 1
Algeciras
16 May
Algeciras
0 : 2
Hercules
09 May
Sanluqueno
0 : 1
Algeciras
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 38 22 10 6 65:32 76
2 CD San Fernando 38 21 9 8 61:33 72
3 Pozoblanco 38 20 11 7 56:33 71
4 Mairena 38 17 12 9 41:29 63
5 Algeciras 38 17 11 10 44:33 62
6 Portuense 38 17 10 11 44:40 61
7 Puerto Real CF 38 14 17 7 42:32 59
8 Sanluqueno 38 14 14 10 47:42 56
9 Sevilla C 38 12 15 11 42:40 51
10 Cordoba B 38 13 10 15 41:38 49
11 UD Los Palacios 38 12 13 13 40:44 49
12 Coria C.F. 38 12 10 16 58:60 46
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 10 14 14 41:46 44
14 Conil 38 11 10 17 44:47 43
15 Cadiz B 38 12 7 19 52:50 43
16 Marinaleda 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
17 Ayamonte 38 9 15 14 53:62 42
18 Jerez Industrial 38 13 6 19 36:58 42
19 Penarroya Pueblonuevo CF 38 8 10 20 35:60 34
20 Los Barrios 38 3 11 24 22:68 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)