Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010

Marinaleda

1 - 0

Murallas de Ceuta FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010 game between Marinaleda and Murallas de Ceuta FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marinaleda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Marinaleda

33%

Draws

27%

Murallas de Ceuta FC

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Marinaleda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Murallas de Ceuta FC haven't matched Marinaleda's recent run of results.
Model gives Marinaleda a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Marinaleda Clean Sheet 20%

Murallas de Ceuta FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marinaleda	Murallas de Ceuta FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	10	9
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Murallas de Ceuta FC vs Marinaleda

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Oct 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Marinaleda vs Murallas de Ceuta FC

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

2:2

Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Marinaleda vs Murallas de Ceuta FC

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sep 12, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Murallas de Ceuta FC vs Marinaleda

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinaleda 40 / 100

Murallas de Ceuta FC 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marinaleda Murallas de Ceuta FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marinaleda's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Murallas de Ceuta FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Marinaleda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marinaleda VS Murallas de Ceuta FC

1 Goals Scored 0.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Alcala	38	23	11	4	68:21	80
2	Mairena	38	21	7	10	54:30	70
3	Ayamonte	38	19	12	7	63:33	69
4	Marinaleda	38	19	9	10	52:33	66
5	Linense	38	17	12	9	50:32	63
6	Pozoblanco	38	17	11	10	44:33	62
7	Los Barrios	38	16	9	13	42:41	57
8	Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)	38	15	11	12	61:47	56
9	Cordoba B	38	13	16	9	38:37	55
10	Cadiz B	38	14	12	12	42:41	54
11	UD Los Palacios	38	15	8	15	40:45	53
12	Coria C.F.	38	14	8	16	56:47	50
13	Puerto Real CF	38	14	7	17	32:39	49
14	Sevilla C	38	12	12	14	42:40	48
15	Algeciras	38	11	13	14	48:53	46
16	Sanluqueno	38	12	8	18	36:41	44
17	Portuense	38	12	7	19	39:56	43
18	Murallas de Ceuta FC	38	11	8	19	29:42	41
19	Dos Hermanas	38	4	7	27	24:92	19
20	AD Cartaya	38	4	6	28	25:82	18