Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marinaleda vs Portuense

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portuense in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Marinaleda
35%
Draws
9%
Portuense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marinaleda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portuense lately — more wins on the board than Marinaleda.
  • Model gives Marinaleda a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 20%
Portuense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marinaleda Portuense
Matches Played 34 37
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.06 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Portuense
0:3
Nov 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Marinaleda
0:1
Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Portuense
0:1
Aug 29, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Marinaleda
0:0
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Marinaleda
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinaleda 67 / 100
Portuense 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marinaleda Portuense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marinaleda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marinaleda scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Portuense let in goals in 76% of their last 37 matches.

Solid form: Marinaleda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Portuense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portuense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marinaleda

(Home)
13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1
Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0
Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 7

Portuense

(Away)
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
28 Aug
Portuense
1 : 2
Rotena
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
09 Aug
Trebujena CF
2 : 0
Portuense
27 Jul
Portuense
0 : 2
Xerez CD
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 38 22 10 6 65:32 76
2 CD San Fernando 38 21 9 8 61:33 72
3 Pozoblanco 38 20 11 7 56:33 71
4 Mairena 38 17 12 9 41:29 63
5 Algeciras 38 17 11 10 44:33 62
6 Portuense 38 17 10 11 44:40 61
7 Puerto Real CF 38 14 17 7 42:32 59
8 Sanluqueno 38 14 14 10 47:42 56
9 Sevilla C 38 12 15 11 42:40 51
10 Cordoba B 38 13 10 15 41:38 49
11 UD Los Palacios 38 12 13 13 40:44 49
12 Coria C.F. 38 12 10 16 58:60 46
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 10 14 14 41:46 44
14 Conil 38 11 10 17 44:47 43
15 Cadiz B 38 12 7 19 52:50 43
16 Marinaleda 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
17 Ayamonte 38 9 15 14 53:62 42
18 Jerez Industrial 38 13 6 19 36:58 42
19 Penarroya Pueblonuevo CF 38 8 10 20 35:60 34
20 Los Barrios 38 3 11 24 22:68 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)