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Marinaleda vs Portuense

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portuense in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Marinaleda
30%
Draws
0%
Portuense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marinaleda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marinaleda lately — more wins on the board than Portuense.
  • Win probability leans Marinaleda's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 20%
Portuense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marinaleda Portuense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Portuense
0:3
Nov 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Marinaleda
0:1
Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Portuense
0:1
Aug 29, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Marinaleda
0:0
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Marinaleda
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinaleda 58 / 100
Portuense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marinaleda Portuense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuense let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Portuense's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Marinaleda scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Marinaleda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portuense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marinaleda

(Home)
13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1
Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0
Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2
Cordoba B
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Portuense

(Away)
28 Aug
Portuense
1 : 2
Rotena
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
09 Aug
Trebujena CF
2 : 0
Portuense
27 Jul
Portuense
0 : 2
Xerez CD
19 May
Antoniano
2 : 0
Portuense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanluqueno 38 28 5 5 81:32 89
2 CD San Fernando 38 22 8 8 88:52 74
3 Mairena 38 20 11 7 64:32 71
4 Coria C.F. 38 20 8 10 72:46 68
5 Sevilla C 38 20 6 12 67:46 66
6 Algeciras 38 17 8 13 57:50 59
7 CD Alcala 38 13 18 7 58:52 57
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 16 6 16 59:55 54
9 Cadiz B 38 13 11 14 53:53 50
10 Cordoba B 38 11 12 15 35:37 45
11 Conil 38 11 12 15 47:68 45
12 Pozoblanco 38 10 15 13 47:49 45
13 Antoniano 38 10 13 15 31:45 43
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
15 Arcos CF 38 9 13 16 45:63 40
16 Portuense 38 8 15 15 41:53 39
17 Ayamonte 38 10 8 20 46:72 38
18 Murallas de Ceuta FC 38 9 11 18 34:51 38
19 Marinaleda 38 9 11 18 39:59 38
20 PD Rociera 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)