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Marines vs Muhanga

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Marines Logo

Marines

3 - 2
FT
Muhanga Logo

Muhanga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marines in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Marines
20%
Draws
40%
Muhanga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marines lately — more wins on the board than Muhanga.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Marines taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Marines Clean Sheet 20%
Muhanga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marines Muhanga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.4 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League
Marines vs Muhanga
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Muhanga vs Marines
0:2
Feb 25, 2021 Premier League
Marines vs Muhanga
0:0
Mar 15, 2020 Premier League
Muhanga vs Marines
0:0
Nov 23, 2019 Premier League
Marines vs Muhanga
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marines 40 / 100
Muhanga 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marines Muhanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marines found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Muhanga let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Marines stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marines VS Muhanga
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marines

(Home)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
Page 1 of 6

Muhanga

(Away)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
16 May
Kiyovu
1 : 1
Muhanga
10 May
Muhanga
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
06 May
Muhanga
1 : 0
Rayon Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)