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Marines vs Musanze

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Marines Logo

Marines

1 - 1
FT
Musanze Logo

Musanze

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Marines and Musanze finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Marines
35%
Draws
30%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Marines's 1.4 goals per match outpaces what Musanze have produced (1.2).
  • Win probability leans Marines's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Marines Clean Sheet 20%
Musanze Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marines Musanze
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Marines vs Musanze
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Musanze vs Marines
3:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs Musanze
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League
Musanze vs Marines
1:1
May 2, 2024 Premier League
Marines vs Musanze
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marines 49 / 100
Musanze 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marines Musanze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marines scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Musanze let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Marines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marines VS Musanze
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marines

(Home)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
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Musanze

(Away)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
09 May
Musanze
0 : 0
Police
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)