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Marines vs Musanze

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Marines and Musanze finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Marines
28%
Draws
22%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Marines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Marines's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Musanze have produced (0.63).
  • Win probability leans Marines's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Marines Clean Sheet 20%
Musanze Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marines Musanze
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Marines vs Musanze
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Musanze vs Marines
3:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs Musanze
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League
Musanze vs Marines
1:1
May 2, 2024 Premier League
Marines vs Musanze
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marines 49 / 100
Musanze 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marines Musanze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marines scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Musanze let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Marines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marines VS Musanze
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marines

(Home)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
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Musanze

(Away)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
09 May
Musanze
0 : 0
Police
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)