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Maringa FC vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Willie Davids, Maringá
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Jesiel In: Gabriel Souza
Out: Jesiel
26'
Pedro Pecanha
32'
Ronald Carvalho

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Maringa FC and Barra FC (Santa Catarina) finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maringa FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Maringa FC
35%
Draws
22%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Maringa FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Maringa FC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 68%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maringa FC Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie C
Maringa FC vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maringa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Giovane Gomez
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maringa FC 77 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maringa FC Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maringa FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maringa FC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Maringa FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maringa FC VS Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maringa FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Floresta EC
03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Maringa FC
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

(Away)
11 Oct
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
CA Metropolitano
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3
Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)