Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marinhense vs Fornos de Algodres

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marinhense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marinhense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Marinhense
6%
Draws
4%
Fornos de Algodres
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Marinhense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fornos de Algodres haven't matched Marinhense's recent run of results.
  • Marinhense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Marinhense Clean Sheet 68%
Fornos de Algodres Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marinhense Fornos de Algodres
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 14 1
Draws 12 4
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs Fornos de Algodres
3:0
Nov 26, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fornos de Algodres vs Marinhense
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinhense 95 / 100
Fornos de Algodres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marinhense Fornos de Algodres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fornos de Algodres let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Marinhense found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (39 games).

Fornos de Algodres lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marinhense VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marinhense

(Home)
18 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 0
Marinhense
12 Apr
Marinhense
4 : 5
Lajense
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0
Marinhense
Page 1 of 8

Fornos de Algodres

(Away)
18 Oct
Fornos de Algodres
0 : 7
AFS
21 Sept
Fornos de Algodres
3 : 1
Charneca Caparica
10 Sept
Fornos de Algodres
0 : 5
Oliveira Hospital
22 Apr
Sertanense
6 : 1
Fornos de Algodres
14 Apr
Fornos de Algodres
1 : 3
Agueda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria30234368:2173
2Lusitano FCV30205547:1965
3SB Castelo Branco30178548:2359
4Sertanense30158751:2253
5Agueda30147939:3249
6Gafanha30139836:2348
7Anadia301210839:2846
8Maritimo B301431344:3045
9Nogueirense301191037:3842
10Oleiros301261235:3642
11Marinhense301181143:4141
12Mortagua FC301131623:4036
13Ferreira de Aves30921934:6929
14Aguias do Moradal30561929:5421
15GD Sourense30381928:5717
16Fornos de Algodres30042615:834
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)