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Marino De Luanco vs Ponferradina Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tounkara N.
48' Event
Chibozo J.
73' Event
Molina A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Marino De Luanco and Ponferradina finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ponferradina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Marino De Luanco
20%
Draws
46%
Ponferradina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ponferradina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ponferradina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ponferradina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 18%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marino De Luanco Ponferradina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Marino De Luanco vs Ponferradina
0:3
Mar 1, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Marino De Luanco
1:0
Oct 13, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Ponferradina
0:1
Apr 16, 2006 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ponferradina vs Marino De Luanco
0:0
Nov 20, 2005 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Marino De Luanco vs Ponferradina
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marino De Luanco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ponferradina Compare

Top Goalscorer Tounkara N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chibozo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marino De Luanco 36 / 100
Ponferradina 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marino De Luanco Ponferradina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ponferradina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Marino De Luanco found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ponferradina conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Marino De Luanco has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marino De Luanco VS Ponferradina
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marino De Luanco

(Home)
03 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 2
Marino De Luanco
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
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Ponferradina

(Away)
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1
Ponferradina
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Lugo
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1
Ponferradina
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