Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mariscal Sucre vs Libertad FC

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mariscal Sucre in this Nacional B 2022 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mariscal Sucre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mariscal Sucre
39%
Draws
31%
Libertad FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Libertad FC haven't matched Mariscal Sucre's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Nacional B 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mariscal Sucre Clean Sheet 20%
Libertad FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariscal Sucre Libertad FC
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 11 2
Draws 9 0
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Mariscal Sucre vs Libertad FC
7:0
Aug 7, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Libertad FC vs Mariscal Sucre
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariscal Sucre 31 / 100
Libertad FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariscal Sucre Libertad FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libertad FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 10 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Mariscal Sucre found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Mariscal Sucre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mariscal Sucre VS Libertad FC
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariscal Sucre

(Home)
09 Oct
Sur-Car
4 : 0
Mariscal Sucre
06 Oct
Mariscal Sucre
2 : 2
Sur-Car
25 Sept
24 de Septiembre
2 : 2
Mariscal Sucre
17 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
3 : 1
Wilstermann Cooperativas
03 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
1 : 1
24 de Septiembre
Page 1 of 6

Libertad FC

(Away)
28 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
7 : 1
Libertad FC
21 Sept
Libertad FC
1 : 0
3 de Febrero
13 Sept
Libertad FC
2 : 1
Deportivo Shalon
06 Sept
3 de Febrero
2 : 1
Libertad FC
01 Sept
Deportivo Shalon
2 : 1
Libertad FC
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Libertad Gran Mamore640218:412
2Universitario Beni631210:910
3Alianza Beni62138:187
43 de Febrero62047:126
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stormers SC651023:316
2Mojocoya640211:912
3Morro Municipal621311:67
4Real Candua60065:320
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cochabamba63309:612
2Enrique Happ632111:411
3Nueva Cliza62317:59
4Real Mizque60065:170
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic660023:418
2Academia del Balompie64029:512
3Maestranza62048:156
4GAM Sica Sica60064:200
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Oruro651020:416
2Sur-Car641115:813
3Deportivo Shalon62048:126
4Municipal Challapata60064:230
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vaca Diez43108:510
2Mariscal Sucre421114:47
3Libertad FC40042:150
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wilstermann Cooperativas63127:310
2Cerveceria63129:710
3Deportivo Juva62227:78
423 de Marzo62048:146
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Destroyers632112:1011
224 de Septiembre631210:510
3Atletico Warnes61325:106
4Argentinos Juniors612310:125
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Garcia Agreda42025:46
2Atletico Bermejo41215:55
3Comercio Bermejo41215:65
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)