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Stadium Background

Mariscal Sucre vs San Borja

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mariscal Sucre in this Nacional B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mariscal Sucre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mariscal Sucre
30%
Draws
0%
San Borja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mariscal Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Mariscal Sucre have won more games recently than San Borja.
  • Mariscal Sucre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mariscal Sucre Clean Sheet 18%
San Borja Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariscal Sucre San Borja
Matches Played 32 8
Wins 13 0
Draws 9 0
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.06 1
Goals Conceded 1.59 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Borja vs Mariscal Sucre
3:6
Oct 18, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Mariscal Sucre vs San Borja
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariscal Sucre 85 / 100
San Borja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariscal Sucre San Borja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mariscal Sucre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Borja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 8 matches.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: San Borja has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mariscal Sucre found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Mariscal Sucre VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariscal Sucre

(Home)
09 Oct
Sur-Car
4 : 0
Mariscal Sucre
06 Oct
Mariscal Sucre
2 : 2
Sur-Car
25 Sept
24 de Septiembre
2 : 2
Mariscal Sucre
17 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
3 : 1
Wilstermann Cooperativas
03 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
1 : 1
24 de Septiembre
Page 1 of 7

San Borja

(Away)
20 Dec
Universitario Beni
5 : 3
San Borja
07 Dec
San Borja
0 : 3
Guabira
01 Dec
Royal Pari
4 : 0
San Borja
22 Nov
San Borja
3 : 6
Mariscal Sucre
15 Nov
San Borja
0 : 3
Universitario Beni
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Pari 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
2 Guabira 8 5 1 2 19:7 16
3 Universitario Beni 8 5 1 2 20:15 16
4 Mariscal Sucre 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
5 San Borja 8 0 0 8 8:33 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 1 1 15:9 13
2 Em Huanuni 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
3 Arauco Prado 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
4 Maestranza 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Tarija 8 5 1 2 7:8 16
2 Garcia Agreda 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
3 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 4 1 3 15:14 13
4 Fancesa 8 3 1 4 15:13 10
5 Wilstermann Cooperativas 8 2 0 6 11:16 6
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)