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Mariscal Sucre vs Universidad Crucena

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mariscal Sucre in this Nacional B 2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mariscal Sucre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mariscal Sucre
22%
Draws
18%
Universidad Crucena
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mariscal Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Universidad Crucena haven't matched Mariscal Sucre's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Mariscal Sucre taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Mariscal Sucre Clean Sheet 20%
Universidad Crucena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariscal Sucre Universidad Crucena
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universidad Crucena vs Mariscal Sucre
2:3
Sep 15, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Mariscal Sucre vs Universidad Crucena
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariscal Sucre 58 / 100
Universidad Crucena 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariscal Sucre Universidad Crucena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universidad Crucena let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Mariscal Sucre scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Mariscal Sucre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mariscal Sucre VS Universidad Crucena
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariscal Sucre

(Home)
09 Oct
Sur-Car
4 : 0
Mariscal Sucre
06 Oct
Mariscal Sucre
2 : 2
Sur-Car
25 Sept
24 de Septiembre
2 : 2
Mariscal Sucre
17 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
3 : 1
Wilstermann Cooperativas
03 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
1 : 1
24 de Septiembre
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Universidad Crucena

(Away)
16 Jul
Universidad Crucena
2 : 2
River 66
02 Jul
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Universidad Crucena
25 Jun
Universidad Crucena
0 : 3
24 de Septiembre
21 Jun
Torre Fuerte
2 : 0
Universidad Crucena
18 Jun
River 66
1 : 2
Universidad Crucena
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Always Ready1292136:1029
2Club Universitario de Vinto1272317:1223
3Em Huanuni1261518:2219
4Fatic1242624:2414
5Sur-Car1242621:2214
6Deportivo Bata de Quillacollo1232714:2811
7Enrique Happ1231818:3010
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gatty Ribeiro De Pado1063119:621
2Mariscal Sucre1061328:1419
3Torre Fuerte1054125:1219
4Universidad Crucena1031617:2310
5CD Kivon1031616:2610
6Libertad Gran Mamore1012711:355
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Industrial Aviles14101329:1631
2Independiente1492335:1929
3Atletico Bermejo1484220:1228
4Petrolero de Yacuiba1480624:1124
5Ferrocarril Palmeiras1454523:2619
6Rosario Central1432914:3711
7Juventud Unida Pocitos1423924:379
8Deportivo Aleman14221028:398
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)