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Marist vs Rewa

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Morosini A.
44' Event
Tannus M.
48'
Tannus M.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2017 game between Marist and Rewa finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Marist
20%
Draws
34%
Rewa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Rewa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Marist a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Marist Clean Sheet 19%
Rewa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marist Rewa
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 5 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.45 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2017 OFC Champions League
Marist vs Rewa
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marist Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morosini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Rewa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tannus M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makoe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marist 76 / 100
Rewa 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marist Rewa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Marist found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (22 games).

Rewa has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Marist stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rewa
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marist

(Home)
29 Apr
Marist
0 : 1
Lautoka
22 Apr
Lautoka
1 : 1
Marist
07 Apr
Nalkutan
1 : 2
Marist
02 Mar
Lupe ole Soaga
1 : 3
Marist
27 Feb
Marist
1 : 1
Magenta
Page 1 of 5

Rewa

(Away)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
23 Aug
Rewa
0 : 1
Navua
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
15 Aug
Rewa
2 : 1
Lae City
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magenta 3 3 0 0 11:3 9
2 Central Sport 3 2 0 1 12:7 6
3 Madang Fox 3 1 0 2 7:15 3
4 PNG Hekari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 15:2 9
2 Hienghene Sport 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Ba 3 1 1 1 2:9 4
4 Puaikura 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 15:1 9
2 Western United 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Lae City 3 1 0 2 8:9 3
4 Malampa Revivors 3 0 0 3 3:18 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tefana 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Marist 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Rewa 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)