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Maritimo B vs AD Marco 09

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Silva A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Maritimo B and AD Marco 09 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Marco 09.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Maritimo B
15%
Draws
58%
AD Marco 09
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Marco 09 come out ahead of Maritimo B on wins alone.
  • AD Marco 09 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 25%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo B AD Marco 09
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs AD Marco 09
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Marco 09 vs Maritimo B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

AD Marco 09 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo B 21 / 100
AD Marco 09 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo B AD Marco 09

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Marco 09 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo B scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

AD Marco 09 let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Maritimo B remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Marco 09
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo B

(Home)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
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AD Marco 09

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)