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Maritimo B vs Cinfaes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Leite F.
45' Event
Lima M.
80' Event
Goncalves F.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Maritimo B and Cinfaes finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cinfaes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Maritimo B
15%
Draws
46%
Cinfaes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cinfaes come out ahead of Maritimo B on wins alone.
  • Model gives Maritimo B a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Cinfaes have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 20%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo B Cinfaes
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 18
Draws 5 12
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Cinfaes
2:3
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Maritimo B
2:0
Mar 31, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs Maritimo B
3:2
Nov 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Cinfaes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isnaba G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Cinfaes Compare

Top Goalscorer Leite F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lima M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo B 36 / 100
Cinfaes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo B Cinfaes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Maritimo B scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Cinfaes let in goals in 51% of their last 37 matches.

Recent resilience: Maritimo B stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cinfaes
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo B

(Home)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
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Cinfaes

(Away)
20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4
Leixoes
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)