Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maritimo U19 vs Alverca U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Maritimo U19
20%
Draws
20%
Alverca U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maritimo U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Maritimo U19 have won more games recently than Alverca U19.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Maritimo U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Maritimo U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo U19 Alverca U19
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Maritimo U19 vs Alverca U19
1:1
Oct 8, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Maritimo U19
2:1
Jan 19, 2019 Campeonato Nacional U19
Maritimo U19 vs Alverca U19
1:0
Oct 27, 2018 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Maritimo U19
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo U19 85 / 100
Alverca U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo U19 Alverca U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritimo U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maritimo U19 scored in 71% of their last 38 outings.

Defensive concern: Alverca U19 conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Alverca U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alverca U19
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo U19

(Home)
25 May
Maritimo U19
0 : 1
Boavista U19
18 May
Pacos Ferreira U19
1 : 0
Maritimo U19
11 May
Maritimo U19
3 : 1
Chaves U19
04 May
Vizela U19
2 : 3
Maritimo U19
27 Apr
Maritimo U19
0 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
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Alverca U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 22 12 7 3 42:23 43
2 Vizela U19 22 12 6 4 51:32 42
3 Famalicao U19 22 11 8 3 38:22 41
4 Braga U19 22 11 6 5 38:28 39
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 22 11 5 6 43:37 38
6 Gil Vicente U19 22 9 4 9 42:38 31
7 Pacos Ferreira U19 22 8 6 8 41:45 30
8 Gondomar U19 22 9 2 11 29:38 29
9 Boavista U19 22 8 4 10 27:31 28
10 Rio Ave U19 22 7 5 10 22:28 26
11 Tondela U19 22 3 5 14 17:37 14
12 Anadia U19 22 0 4 18 23:54 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 22 15 3 4 69:29 48
2 Sporting CP U19 22 14 5 3 40:16 47
3 Alverca U19 22 12 6 4 43:36 42
4 Estoril U19 22 10 5 7 28:35 35
5 Academica U19 22 10 5 7 32:29 35
6 Belenenses U19 22 9 7 6 32:23 34
7 Torreense U19 22 8 4 10 31:34 28
8 Maritimo U19 22 5 7 10 19:33 22
9 Casa Pia U19 22 6 3 13 22:46 21
10 Nacional U19 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Vitoria Setubal U19 22 5 5 12 28:36 20
12 Vilafranquense U19 22 3 5 14 19:33 14
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)