Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Gomes Aguiar F. T.
Assist: Daniel C.
18'
18'
Luccas Paraizo
Assist: Serif N.
22'
22'
Serif N.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Maritimo and Leixoes finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leixoes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Leixoes come out ahead of Maritimo on wins alone.
- Model gives Leixoes a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 16%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maritimo | Leixoes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Maritimo vs Leixoes
1:5
May 1, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Leixoes
3:2
Dec 21, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Maritimo
1:4
Apr 5, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Leixoes
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Maritimo
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maritimo Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomes Aguiar F. T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guirassy I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Leixoes Compare
Top Goalscorer Luccas Paraizo
1 Goals Assists Leader Kanuric B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maritimo 10 / 100
Leixoes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maritimo Leixoes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leixoes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Maritimo found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Leixoes has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Maritimo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maritimo VS Leixoes
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Maritimo
(Home) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1 Maritimo
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
08 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0 Casa Pia
01 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0 Nacional
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1 Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 4
Leixoes
(Away) 20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4 Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4 Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
10 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 0 Leixoes
18 Jul
Nacional
3 : 3 Leixoes
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
