Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maritimo vs Leixoes

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal
Maritimo Logo

Maritimo

3 - 2
FT
Leixoes Logo

Leixoes

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gomes Aguiar F. T.
Assist: Daniel C.
18' Event
Luccas Paraizo
Assist: Serif N.
22' Event
Serif N.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Maritimo and Leixoes finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Maritimo
6%
Draws
90%
Leixoes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leixoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maritimo come out ahead of Leixoes on wins alone.
  • Model gives Leixoes a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 10%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo Leixoes
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Maritimo vs Leixoes
1:5
May 1, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Leixoes
3:2
Dec 21, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Maritimo
1:4
Apr 5, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Leixoes
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Maritimo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes Aguiar F. T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guirassy I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Leixoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Luccas Paraizo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kanuric B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo 10 / 100
Leixoes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo Leixoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Leixoes has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Maritimo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo VS Leixoes
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo

(Home)
01 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0
Nacional
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1
Estrela Calheta
25 Jul
Maritimo
0 : 0
Machico
22 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0
Camacha
17 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 5
Leixoes
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Leixoes

(Away)
01 Aug
Leixoes
6 : 2
Casa Pia
29 Jul
Leixoes
3 : 2
Vizela
18 Jul
Nacional
3 : 3
Leixoes
17 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 5
Leixoes
17 May
Leixoes
2 : 1
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maritimo 34 20 6 8 50:29 66
2 Academico Viseu 34 17 8 9 58:33 59
3 Torreense 34 18 5 11 46:33 59
4 Vizela 34 14 9 11 39:40 51
5 FC Porto B 34 15 6 13 41:42 51
6 Leiria 34 13 11 10 52:46 50
7 Leixoes 34 15 5 14 46:55 50
8 Feirense 34 12 10 12 37:40 46
9 Chaves 34 13 6 15 42:40 45
10 Benfica B 34 11 11 12 43:44 44
11 FC Felgueiras 34 11 11 12 34:38 44
12 Lusitania FC 34 11 10 13 44:52 43
13 Sporting CP B 34 13 3 18 41:34 42
14 Penafiel 34 11 8 15 37:39 41
15 Portimonense 34 11 7 16 39:49 40
16 SC Farense 34 10 10 14 31:37 40
17 Pacos Ferreira 34 9 12 13 34:48 39
18 Oliveirense 34 8 10 16 34:49 34
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)