Sport Picks
Maritimo W vs Damaiense W
Portugal
Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal 
Match Events
6'
6'
Martinet L.
12'
12'
Coutinho R.
23'
23'
Cartaxo S.
Assist: Lidiane
AI Match Summary
The Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 game between Maritimo W and Damaiense W finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maritimo W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Maritimo W come out ahead of Damaiense W on wins alone.
- Model gives Maritimo W a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 17%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maritimo W | Damaiense W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.31 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Maritimo W
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Damaiense W
3:3
Feb 2, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Maritimo W
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Damaiense W
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Damaiense W
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maritimo W Compare
Top Goalscorer Coutinho R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sisse F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Damaiense W Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinet L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cartaxo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maritimo W 36 / 100
Damaiense W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maritimo W Damaiense W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Damaiense W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Maritimo W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Maritimo W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Maritimo W VS Damaiense W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Maritimo W
(Home) 12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0 Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0 Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0 Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2 Maritimo W
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24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0 Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes W
22 Mar
Maritimo W
1 : 3 SL Benfica W
22 Feb
Maritimo W
0 : 2 Braga W
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Damaiense W
(Away) 10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1 Damaiense W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2 Maritimo W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3 Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0 Damaiense W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes W
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10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1 Damaiense W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3 Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0 Damaiense W
15 Mar
Racing Power W
2 : 2 Damaiense W
06 Feb
Sporting W
3 : 0 Damaiense W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SL Benfica W | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 58:11 | 48 |
| 2 | Sporting W | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 35:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Torreense W | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 4 | Valadares Gaia W | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | 26 |
| 5 | Braga W | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 26:21 | 24 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes W | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 16:23 | 21 |
| 7 | Racing Power W | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 8 | Rio Ave W | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10:18 | 17 |
| 9 | Maritimo W | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19:40 | 14 |
| 10 | Damaiense W | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17:51 | 11 |
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
