Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maritimo W vs Vilaverdense W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Freitas D.
27' Event
Costa E.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Costa E.
Assist: Holtz J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 game between Maritimo W and Vilaverdense W finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Maritimo W
15%
Draws
0%
Vilaverdense W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritimo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Maritimo W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Maritimo W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 13%
Vilaverdense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo W Vilaverdense W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 20 26
Goals Scored 1.19 0.37
Goals Conceded 2.31 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Maritimo W
0:5
Dec 21, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Vilaverdense W
6:0
May 5, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Maritimo W
2:0
Jan 7, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Vilaverdense W
5:1
Apr 23, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Vilaverdense W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewis S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Freitas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Vilaverdense W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo W 84 / 100
Vilaverdense W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo W Vilaverdense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritimo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilaverdense W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Difficult form: Vilaverdense W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Maritimo W scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo W VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo W

(Home)
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
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Vilaverdense W

(Away)
11 May
Damaiense W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
03 May
Vilaverdense W
0 : 5
Maritimo W
13 Apr
Vilaverdense W
0 : 6
Famalicao W
30 Mar
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
16 Mar
Vilaverdense W
0 : 7
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 20 2 0 65:10 62
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 66:9 54
3 Braga W 22 13 3 6 51:17 42
4 Torreense W 22 13 2 7 46:22 41
5 Valadares Gaia W 22 12 2 8 44:24 38
6 Racing Power W 22 9 7 6 35:23 34
7 Maritimo W 22 9 3 10 28:26 30
8 Damaiense W 22 8 2 12 22:29 26
9 Famalicao W 22 7 2 13 32:54 23
10 Estoril Praia W 22 5 4 13 28:49 19
11 Albergaria/Durit W 22 3 2 17 13:60 11
12 Vilaverdense W 22 0 0 22 4:111 0
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)