Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maritimo W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Oliveira L.
58' Event
Silva E.
62'
Sub
Coutinho R. In: Radosavljevic J.
Out: Coutinho R.

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes W in this Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Guimaraes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Maritimo W
30%
Draws
29%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maritimo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria Guimaraes W lately — more wins on the board than Maritimo W.
  • Win probability leans Maritimo W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vitoria Guimaraes W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo W Vitoria Guimaraes W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Maritimo W
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Taça da Liga Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Maritimo W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Vitoria Guimaraes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo W 36 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo W Vitoria Guimaraes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo W's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vitoria Guimaraes W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Maritimo W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo W VS Vitoria Guimaraes W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo W

(Home)
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Guimaraes W

(Away)
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
02 May
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 0
Torreense W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)