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Maritsa Milevo vs Sozopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Maritsa Milevo and Sozopol finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritsa Milevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Maritsa Milevo
15%
Draws
31%
Sozopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritsa Milevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maritsa Milevo come out ahead of Sozopol on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Maritsa Milevo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 13%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Milevo Sozopol
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Sozopol
4:2
Mar 7, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Sozopol
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Maritsa Milevo
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Sozopol
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Maritsa Milevo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Milevo 84 / 100
Sozopol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Milevo Sozopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritsa Milevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritsa Milevo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sozopol conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Maritsa Milevo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Milevo VS Sozopol
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Milevo

(Home)
03 Oct
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Sozopol
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
05 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 4
Maritsa Milevo
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Sozopol

(Away)
03 Oct
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Sozopol
26 Sept
Sozopol
3 : 2
Sekirovo Rakovski
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Maritsa Milevo 9 7 0 2 21:11 21
3 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
7 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
8 Sozopol 9 4 1 4 19:17 13
9 Rozova Dolina 9 2 6 1 14:13 12
10 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)