Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East

Maritsa Milevo

7 - 1

Spartak Plovdiv

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Maritsa Milevo and Spartak Plovdiv finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritsa Milevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Maritsa Milevo

28%

Draws

22%

Spartak Plovdiv

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Maritsa Milevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Maritsa Milevo carry the better recent record into this one.
50% — that's where the model lands on Maritsa Milevo taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 15%

Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maritsa Milevo	Spartak Plovdiv
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	15	14
Draws	9	6
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	2.38	2.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Third League - South-East

Maritsa Milevo vs Spartak Plovdiv

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

7:1

Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-East

Spartak Plovdiv vs Maritsa Milevo

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

May 14, 2025 Third League - South-East

Spartak Plovdiv vs Maritsa Milevo

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Nov 9, 2024 Third League - South-East

Maritsa Milevo vs Spartak Plovdiv

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Milevo 48 / 100

Spartak Plovdiv 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maritsa Milevo Spartak Plovdiv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritsa Milevo scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Spartak Plovdiv let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Maritsa Milevo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Milevo VS Spartak Plovdiv

2.38 Goals Scored 2.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	36	29	4	3	116:22	91
2	Maritsa Plovdiv	36	23	6	7	90:40	75
3	Neftochimic Burgas	36	19	9	8	53:39	66
4	Yambol 1915	36	20	6	10	72:41	66
5	Levski Karlovo	36	20	5	11	64:53	65
6	Maritsa Milevo	36	17	9	10	64:32	60
7	Spartak Plovdiv	36	15	9	12	64:58	54
8	Sozopol	36	16	6	14	50:38	54
9	OFC Haskovo	36	15	7	14	52:48	52
10	Zagorets	36	13	10	13	52:60	49
11	Rozova Dolina	36	14	6	16	45:52	48
12	Gigant Saedinenie	36	14	5	17	56:59	47
13	Rodopa Smolyan	36	14	4	18	51:70	46
14	Atletik Kuklen	36	13	3	20	43:78	42
15	Sekirovo Rakovski	36	9	8	19	30:53	35
16	Dimitrovgrad	36	10	5	21	42:82	35
17	Lok. Plovdiv II	36	9	6	21	44:53	33
18	Rakovski 2011	36	8	3	25	46:94	27
19	Asenovets	36	6	5	25	30:92	23