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Maritsa Milevo vs Yambol 1915 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maritsa Milevo host Yambol 1915 in the Third League - South-East. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Yambol 1915 have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Maritsa Milevo have conceded 0.83 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor Yambol 1915 slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.19, favoring Yambol 1915. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Maritsa Milevo
15%
Draws
36%
Yambol 1915
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritsa Milevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maritsa Milevo lately — more wins on the board than Yambol 1915.
  • Win probability leans Maritsa Milevo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Yambol 1915 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 10%
Yambol 1915 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Milevo Yambol 1915
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.79 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Maritsa Milevo
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Yambol 1915
0:1
May 17, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Yambol 1915
2:2
Nov 16, 2024 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Maritsa Milevo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Milevo 47 / 100
Yambol 1915 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Milevo Yambol 1915

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritsa Milevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritsa Milevo found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Yambol 1915 conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Maritsa Milevo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Milevo VS Yambol 1915
2.5 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Milevo

(Home)
03 Oct
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Sozopol
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
05 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 4
Maritsa Milevo
Page 1 of 6

Yambol 1915

(Away)
04 Oct
Yambol 1915
0 : 5
Hebar
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
19 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
0 : 7
Yambol 1915
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5
Yambol 1915
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Maritsa Milevo 9 7 0 2 21:11 21
3 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
7 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
8 Sozopol 9 4 1 4 19:17 13
9 Rozova Dolina 9 2 6 1 14:13 12
10 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
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