Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Helm in this Estonian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marjamaa Kompanii
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Helm haven't matched Marjamaa Kompanii's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Helm's way, sitting at 90%.
- Marjamaa Kompanii have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Helm, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Marjamaa Kompanii Clean Sheet 10%
Helm Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marjamaa Kompanii | Helm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 15 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 3.06 | 4.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.59 | 4.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 3.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2022 Estonian Cup
Marjamaa Kompanii vs Helm
0:7
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marjamaa Kompanii 10 / 100
Helm 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marjamaa Kompanii Helm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Helm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.
Marjamaa Kompanii's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 17 recent games.
Helm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 15 matches.
Difficult form: Helm registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Marjamaa Kompanii VS Helm
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
4.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Marjamaa Kompanii
(Home) 11 Aug
Narva
8 : 0 Marjamaa Kompanii
21 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
8 : 4 Generation Tallinn
31 Jul
Saku Sporting
3 : 2 Marjamaa Kompanii
10 Jun
Marjamaa Kompanii
4 : 0 Kubik
27 Aug
Marjamaa Kompanii
0 : 2 Tabasalu
Page 1 of 4
21 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
8 : 4 Generation Tallinn
10 Jun
Marjamaa Kompanii
4 : 0 Kubik
27 Aug
Marjamaa Kompanii
0 : 2 Tabasalu
05 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
0 : 7 Helm
11 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
4 : 5 Imavere Forss
Page 1 of 3
Helm
(Away) 23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
18 Jun
Helm
30 : 0 Deliirium
20 Aug
Flora
14 : 0 Helm
01 Aug
Kohvile
0 : 4 Helm
28 Aug
Helm
1 : 5 Elva
Page 1 of 3
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
20 Aug
Flora
14 : 0 Helm
01 Aug
Kohvile
0 : 4 Helm
07 Aug
Loo JK
2 : 4 Helm
05 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
0 : 7 Helm
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kuressaare 1
Viimsi JK 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
Jager -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Tallinna Wolves II 0
Flora U19 12
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Legion 14
TBD -
Kadakas -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Teleios -
Kohvile 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Legion U21 10
Vana Hea Puur 1
ReUnited 3
Loo JK 1
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu 8
Kose 0
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Olympic Tallinn 5
Maardu Aliens 4
TBD -
Saae Latte -
Tabasalu 26
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Mulgi -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Helios -
JK 32. keskkool -
Narva -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Aksi Wolves -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 3
Eston Villa 1
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Soccernet -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Maksatransport 3
1/32-finals
Kuressaare 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Kristiine 2
Laaneranna 3
Tartu Kalev 11
Jager 0
Tallinn Piraaja -
Flora U19 -
Flora -
TBD -
Legion 13
Kadakas 0
Valga Warrior 0
Elva 6
Kalju U21 9
Teleios 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Johvi Phoenix 5
Legion U21 2
ReUnited 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Helm 7
Saku Sporting 0
Rakvere 2
TransferWise 0
Tammeka Tartu 18
Parnu 9
Arukula Vigri 0
Harju JK Laagri 29
EstHam United 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Raplamaa 1
Olympic Tallinn 3
Saae Latte 0
Tabasalu 3
Tartu JK Welco 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Kalju 23
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn 5
JK Poseidon 3
Tulevik 4
Vandra Vaprus 1
Mulgi -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Jarva-Jaani 0
Helios 0
Narva 9
Aksi Wolves 2
FCI Tallinn 3
Rumori Calcio 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Soccernet -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna Wolves 0
Maksatransport 10
1/16-finals
Kuressaare -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora U19 0
Flora 6
Legion 0
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
Johvi Phoenix -
ReUnited -
Helm 1
Rakvere 4
Tammeka Tartu 8
Parnu 0
Harju JK Laagri 13
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 5
Kalju 2
Levadia 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Tulevik 6
FC Tallinn 4
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Narva 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 15
Soccernet 0
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Maksatransport 2
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 5
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora 6
Elva 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Rakvere 0
Tammeka Tartu 5
Harju JK Laagri 2
Tabasalu 1
Kalju 0
Tulevik 0
FC Tallinn 2
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond 11
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Quarter-finals
Kuressaare 1
Flora 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tabasalu 0
Narva 1
Final
Flora 1
Narva 2
