Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Marjamaa in this Estonian Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marjamaa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Navi Vutiselts lately — more wins on the board than Marjamaa.
- Marjamaa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Navi Vutiselts arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Marjamaa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Marjamaa Clean Sheet 13%
Navi Vutiselts Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marjamaa | Navi Vutiselts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 15 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 2, 2016 Estonian Cup
Marjamaa vs Navi Vutiselts
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marjamaa 48 / 100
Navi Vutiselts 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marjamaa Navi Vutiselts
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marjamaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Marjamaa scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Navi Vutiselts's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 15 matches.
Recent resilience: Marjamaa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Marjamaa VS Navi Vutiselts
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Marjamaa
(Home) 12 Oct
Kuressaare
5 : 0 Marjamaa
04 Sept
Terav Sats
0 : 2 Marjamaa
03 Aug
Marjamaa
: Kivioli Irbis
02 Jun
Marjamaa
4 : 0 Navi Vutiselts
12 Aug
Marjamaa
1 : 6 Sillamae Kalev
Page 1 of 2
03 Aug
Marjamaa
: Kivioli Irbis
02 Jun
Marjamaa
4 : 0 Navi Vutiselts
12 Aug
Marjamaa
1 : 6 Sillamae Kalev
04 Jul
Marjamaa
2 : 1 TransferWise
Navi Vutiselts
(Away) 21 Jun
Navi Vutiselts
2 : 4 Rada Kuusalu
02 Jun
Marjamaa
4 : 0 Navi Vutiselts
01 Nov
Navi Vutiselts
0 : 7 Torva JK
06 Sept
Navi Vutiselts
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
05 Aug
Jarva-Jaani
1 : 2 Navi Vutiselts
Page 1 of 3
02 Jun
Marjamaa
4 : 0 Navi Vutiselts
05 Aug
Jarva-Jaani
1 : 2 Navi Vutiselts
09 Jul
Tartu SK 10
7 : 0 Navi Vutiselts
19 Jun
Kaitseliit II
1 : 5 Navi Vutiselts
12 Sept
Parnu Linnameeskond
3 : 2 Navi Vutiselts
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tulevik 4
Tallinna Kalev III 0
TBD -
Loo JK -
Maardu United -
TBD -
Roosu -
Sillamae Kalev -
Tartu Ulikool -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts -
Castovanni Eagles -
Pedajamae -
TBD -
SK EPMU Tartu -
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
Zenit Tallinn 4
Merkuur Tartu 6
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Koeru 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 1
Kadakas 2
Levadia Tallinn III 8
Raudteetoolised 0
Fellin 0
Keila JK 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Santos Tartu 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Tallinna Kalev 14
Paduvere SK Illi 0
IceBears 0
Elva 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
Helios 2
SK Taaksi 3
Flora U19 2
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Imavere Forss -
TBD -
Lelle 1
Molycorp Silmet 6
FCI Tallinn II 6
Tallinna Depoo 0
TBD -
Viimsi JK 2 -
Jogeva Wolves 7
Reaal 0
TBD -
Saue JK Laagri -
Rakvere 13
FC Sssolutions 0
Tabasalu 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Nomme Utd 24
Oismae Torm 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Kalju 8
Tallinn Forza 0
TBD -
Narva -
Kose -
TBD -
Enamasti Pealekata 0
JK Poseidon 7
Torva JK -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 2 0
Ambla 4
Tartu JK Welco 6
Igiliikur 0
FCP Parnu 0
Flora 11
Levadia -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu II 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Raplamaa 4
Rada Kuusalu 0
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
FC Tartu -
TBD -
Kaitseliit -
Eston Villa -
Tallinn Piraaja 11
Tallinna Wolves 1
TBD -
FCI Tallinn -
Narva United 2
Otepaa 1
FC Ararat -
Jarva-Jaani -
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 2
TBD -
Viimsi JK -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Valga Warrior 0
Twister Tallinn 7
Kalju III -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa 4
Navi Vutiselts 0
TBD -
Kivioli Irbis -
Jogeva -
TBD -
Pirita 1
Terav Sats 2
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
Soccernet 8
Jogeva Wolves II 1
Vaatsa Vald -
Kuressaare -
1/32-finals
Tulevik 13
Loo JK 0
Maardu United 2
Sillamae Kalev 10
Tartu Ulikool 3
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Castovanni Eagles 0
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Merkuur Tartu 3
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Kadakas 5
Levadia Tallinn III 4
Keila JK 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Tallinna Kalev 3
Elva 2
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
SK Taaksi 5
Flora U19 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Imavere Forss 0
Molycorp Silmet 2
FCI Tallinn II 5
Viimsi JK 2 0
Jogeva Wolves 1
Saue JK Laagri 6
Rakvere 5
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Kalju 2
Narva 0
Kose 0
JK Poseidon 2
Torva JK 5
Ambla 2
Tartu JK Welco 0
Flora 8
Levadia 4
Parnu Linnameeskond 2
Raplamaa 3
Raasiku Joker 4
FC Tartu 5
Eston Villa 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
FCI Tallinn 9
Narva United 4
Jarva-Jaani 1
TransferWise 1
Viimsi JK 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Twister Tallinn -
Kalju III 0
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Marjamaa -
Kivioli Irbis -
Jogeva 0
Terav Sats 3
Legion 1
Ganvix Turi 0
Soccernet 1
Kuressaare 5
1/16-finals
Tulevik 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Tartu Ulikool 4
SK EPMU Tartu 6
Rumori Calcio 4
Kadakas 3
Levadia Tallinn III 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Tallinna Kalev 5
SK Taaksi 0
Flora U19 5
Molycorp Silmet 6
FCI Tallinn II 3
Saue JK Laagri 0
Rakvere 2
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 10
JK Poseidon 0
Torva JK 0
Flora 5
Levadia 7
Raasiku Joker 0
FC Tartu 0
FCI Tallinn 11
Narva United 1
Viimsi JK 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Marjamaa 2
Terav Sats 0
Legion 2
Kuressaare 3
1/8-finals
Tulevik 5
SK EPMU Tartu 0
Rumori Calcio 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev 11
Molycorp Silmet 0
FCI Tallinn II 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Kalju 1
Flora 0
Levadia 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Marjamaa 0
Kuressaare 5
Quarter-finals
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 3
Kuressaare 1
Semi-finals
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
FCI Tallinn 2
Narva United 0
Final
Tammeka Tartu 0
FCI Tallinn 2
