Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marjamaa vs TransferWise

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marjamaa in this Estonian Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Marjamaa
15%
Draws
21%
TransferWise
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marjamaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TransferWise lately — more wins on the board than Marjamaa.
  • Win probability leans Marjamaa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • TransferWise arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marjamaa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Marjamaa Clean Sheet 14%
TransferWise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marjamaa TransferWise
Matches Played 6 17
Wins 4 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.59
Goals Conceded 2 6.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2015 Estonian Cup
Marjamaa vs TransferWise
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marjamaa 84 / 100
TransferWise 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marjamaa TransferWise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marjamaa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marjamaa scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.

TransferWise let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Marjamaa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marjamaa VS TransferWise
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Marjamaa

(Home)
12 Oct
Kuressaare
5 : 0
Marjamaa
04 Sept
Terav Sats
0 : 2
Marjamaa
03 Aug
Marjamaa
:
Kivioli Irbis
02 Jun
Marjamaa
4 : 0
Navi Vutiselts
12 Aug
Marjamaa
1 : 6
Sillamae Kalev
Page 1 of 2

TransferWise

(Away)
26 Jul
TransferWise
3 : 6
Olympic Tallinn
22 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
26 : 0
TransferWise
07 Aug
TransferWise
0 : 15
Harju JK Laagri
01 Aug
TransferWise
0 : 3
Tulevik
18 Jun
TransferWise
1 : 0
Tallinna Wolves
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Lasnamae 1
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Tallinna Dnipro -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Kalju III 3
Tartu Ulikool 2
TBD -
Otepaa -
Lootos FCR -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 5
Retro 7
Nomme Utd 9
Kohtla-Nomme 1
Igiliikur 1
Ganvix Turi 3
Jogeva 9
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
Rapla 2
Metropool Parnu 6
Kuressaare 20
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
IceBears 1
SK Taaksi 10
JK Poseidon 3
Rumori Calcio 2
TBD -
Santos Tartu -
Torva JK 7
Raasiku Valla 1
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Fellin -
TBD -
TBD -
SK EPMU Tartu -
Tallinna Kalev III -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Valga Warrior 0
Navi Vutiselts 4
Parnu Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Maardu United 4
Narva United 3
Harju JK Laagri 1
FCI Tallinn II 5
Viimsi JK 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
TBD -
Oismae Torm -
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Flora U19 0
Kose 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
TransferWise 1
Marjamaa 2
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts -
TBD -
Raudteetoolised 0
Paide Linnameeskond 31
Merkuur Tartu -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker 3
Rada Kuusalu 4
Olympic Tallinn 2
Pedajamae 0
Kadakas 0
Levadia 8
Tulevik 2
Keila JK 1
Kusimark 1
Kaitseliit 12
Tallinn Piraaja 2
Castovanni Eagles 0
Virtsu 0
FCI Tallinn 36
Narva 14
Eestimaa Kasakad 0
Twister Tallinn 2
Imavere Forss 6
Tallinn CF 4
Elva 3
TBD -
Kalju -
Tallinn Forza 3
Saue JK Laagri 0
Tabasalu 1
Roosu 4
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
Tabivere -
TBD -
Helios 0
Pirita 5
Maardu Starbunker II -
TBD -
Reaal 1
Vaatsa Vald 2
Vastseliina Tannem 4
Tallinna Depoo 2
Moe 0
Lelle 1
Like & Share 2
Jogeva Wolves 1
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Soccernet 2
Eston Villa 2
FC Tartu 1
TBD -
Legion -
Bronx Wood 5
Roosad Pantrid 0
TBD -
Viimsi MRJK -
1/32-finals
Flora 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Kalju III 4
Otepaa 1
Lootos FCR 0
Retro 12
Nomme Utd 4
Ganvix Turi 3
Jogeva 1
Metropool Parnu 4
Kuressaare 4
SK Taaksi 2
JK Poseidon 0
Santos Tartu 11
Torva JK 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Fellin 1
SK EPMU Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Loo JK 0
Jarva-Jaani 1
Navi Vutiselts 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Maardu United 1
FCI Tallinn II 4
Viimsi JK 6
Oismae Torm 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Sillamae Kalev 6
Marjamaa 1
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Merkuur Tartu 4
Rada Kuusalu 2
Olympic Tallinn 0
Levadia 14
Tulevik 7
Kaitseliit 0
Tallinn Piraaja 0
FCI Tallinn 8
Narva 12
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinn CF 0
Kalju 3
Tallinn Forza 7
Roosu 2
Ambla 0
Rakvere 10
Tabivere 1
Pirita 0
Maardu Starbunker II 0
Vaatsa Vald 3
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Lelle 0
Like & Share 2
Soccernet 4
Eston Villa 5
Legion 1
Bronx Wood 1
Viimsi MRJK 3
1/16-finals
Flora 2
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kalju III 1
Retro 2
Nomme Utd 8
Metropool Parnu 0
Kuressaare 3
Santos Tartu 4
Torva JK 2
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Navi Vutiselts 3
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Viimsi JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Sillamae Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Merkuur Tartu 1
Levadia 13
Tulevik 2
FCI Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Kalju 2
Tallinn Forza 4
Rakvere 0
Tabivere 4
Vaatsa Vald 7
Vastseliina Tannem 5
Soccernet 0
Eston Villa 2
Viimsi MRJK 3
1/8-finals
Flora 17
Retro 0
Nomme Utd 2
Santos Tartu 3
Torva JK 7
Navi Vutiselts 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Levadia 0
Tulevik 0
Kalju 5
Tallinn Forza 6
Vaatsa Vald 2
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Viimsi MRJK 4
Quarter-finals
Flora 3
Santos Tartu 1
Torva JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Kalju 0
Tallinn Forza 1
Viimsi MRJK 6
Semi-finals
Flora 2
Tammeka Tartu 0
Sillamae Kalev 2
Viimsi MRJK 0
Final
Flora 3
Sillamae Kalev 0