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Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Samegrelo

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mark Stars Tbilisi in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mark Stars Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mark Stars Tbilisi
39%
Draws
31%
Samegrelo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Mark Stars Tbilisi have won more games recently than Samegrelo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mark Stars Tbilisi here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mark Stars Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mark Stars Tbilisi Samegrelo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
5:0
Jun 3, 2018 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
1:0
Oct 15, 2017 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
4:0
Sep 7, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mark Stars Tbilisi 29 / 100
Samegrelo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mark Stars Tbilisi Samegrelo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Mark Stars Tbilisi's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Solid form: Mark Stars Tbilisi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mark Stars Tbilisi VS Samegrelo
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shevardeni Tbilisi18134149:1043
2Telavi18123356:1539
3Merani Tbilisi18123345:2139
4FC Gardabani1894540:1831
5Mark Stars Tbilisi1873837:3224
6Khoni1856713:2621
7Chiatura18521115:3317
8Betlemi Keda18441023:4416
9FC Kolkheti Khobi1834119:3913
10Samegrelo18151212:618