Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Samegrelo

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mark Stars Tbilisi in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mark Stars Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Mark Stars Tbilisi
15%
Draws
32%
Samegrelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mark Stars Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Mark Stars Tbilisi have won more games recently than Samegrelo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mark Stars Tbilisi here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mark Stars Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mark Stars Tbilisi Samegrelo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.94 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
5:0
Jun 3, 2018 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
1:0
Oct 15, 2017 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
4:0
Sep 7, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mark Stars Tbilisi 29 / 100
Samegrelo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mark Stars Tbilisi Samegrelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mark Stars Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Mark Stars Tbilisi's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Mark Stars Tbilisi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mark Stars Tbilisi VS Samegrelo
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mark Stars Tbilisi

(Home)
06 Dec
Mark Stars Tbilisi
4 : 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
30 Nov
Sulori Vani
1 : 0
Mark Stars Tbilisi
20 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 0
Borjomi
12 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi
06 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 1
Gori
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Samegrelo

(Away)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)