Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025

Thiva F.C.

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marko play Thiva F.C. in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025. Marko are favorites here. Recently, Marko averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. Thiva F.C. averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Marko won 2, Thiva F.C. won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Marko and 1.06 for Thiva F.C.. This points to a Marko double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Marko

21%

Draws

18%

Thiva F.C.

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Marko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Marko picked up more points recently compared to Thiva F.C..
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Marko Clean Sheet 22%

Thiva F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marko	Thiva F.C.
Matches Played	43	30
Wins	24	6
Draws	10	5
Losses	9	19
Goals Scored	1.56	0.87
Goals Conceded	0.81	1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Thiva F.C. vs Marko

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Dec 15, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Marko vs Thiva F.C.

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marko 59 / 100

Thiva F.C. 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marko Thiva F.C.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marko Win (1)

Secondary Pick Marko & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marko attacking → ← attacking Thiva F.C.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marko scored in 79% of their last 43 games.

Thiva F.C. let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Marko went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Thiva F.C. lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

82 Points in last 5 23

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marko	32	22	8	2	61:22	74
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	32	22	7	3	62:20	73
3	Nea Ionia	32	20	7	5	54:25	67
4	Chaidari	32	15	9	8	36:24	54
5	Aris Petroupolis	32	15	7	10	39:31	52
6	Atsalenios FC	32	14	6	12	43:43	48
7	Giouchtas	32	14	5	13	39:40	47
8	AO Ilisiakos	32	14	5	13	50:41	47
9	Asteras Kaisarianis	32	13	8	11	32:24	47
10	Kyanos Astir Varis	32	12	9	11	40:33	45
11	Thyella Diastavroseos	32	11	11	10	34:32	44
12	Agios Nikolaos	32	13	5	14	34:36	44
13	Karavas	32	7	6	19	27:58	27
14	Mandraikos	32	6	8	18	34:51	26
15	Thiva F.C.	32	7	5	20	27:55	26
16	AO Tympakiou	32	5	6	21	33:60	21
17	Rethymniakos	32	4	4	24	25:75	16