Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maroons vs Buhimba

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium, Kampala
Maroons Logo

Maroons

1 - 0
FT
Buhimba Logo

Buhimba

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Asaba I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Maroons and Buhimba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maroons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Maroons
20%
Draws
0%
Buhimba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maroons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Maroons carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Maroons a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Maroons Clean Sheet 68%
Buhimba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maroons Buhimba
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 11 3
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 0.84 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
Maroons vs Buhimba
1:0
Jan 6, 2026 Premier League
Buhimba vs Maroons
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maroons Compare

Top Goalscorer Asaba I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Buhimba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maroons 95 / 100
Buhimba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maroons Buhimba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buhimba has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Buhimba has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Maroons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maroons scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Maroons VS Buhimba
1 Goals Scored 0.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maroons

(Home)
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
19 May
Maroons
0 : 3
Vipers
12 May
Maroons
0 : 0
Entebbe UPPC
07 May
Kampala City
3 : 0
Maroons
28 Apr
Uganda Revenue
2 : 2
Maroons
Page 1 of 7

Buhimba

(Away)
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0
Buhimba
13 May
NEC FC
3 : 0
Buhimba
08 May
Buhimba
0 : 2
Express FC
29 Apr
Buhimba
0 : 2
Lugazi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)