Sport Picks

Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada

Marquense

0 - 0

Aurora F.C.

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Cano J.

38'

Campos G.

46'

Sub

Cano J. In: Joj J.

Out: Cano J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Marquense and Aurora F.C. finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Marquense

22%

Draws

18%

Aurora F.C.

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Marquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Aurora F.C. haven't matched Marquense's recent run of results.
60% — that's where the model lands on Marquense taking it.
Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Marquense Clean Sheet 68%

Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marquense	Aurora F.C.
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	7
Draws	6	8
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	1.38	0.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Liga Nacional

Aurora F.C. vs Marquense

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Feb 26, 2026 Liga Nacional

Marquense vs Aurora F.C.

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Oct 13, 2025 Liga Nacional

Marquense vs Aurora F.C.

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Aug 3, 2025 Liga Nacional

Aurora F.C. vs Marquense

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

May 22, 2005 Liga Nacional

Marquense vs Aurora F.C.

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marquense 68 / 100

Aurora F.C. 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marquense Aurora F.C.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marquense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Aurora F.C.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Difficult form: Aurora F.C. registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marquense VS Aurora F.C.

1.38 Goals Scored 0.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Xelaju	22	11	6	5	34:19	39
2	Municipal	22	11	5	6	32:21	38
3	Deportivo Mixco	22	10	6	6	30:26	36
4	Comunicaciones	22	11	2	9	28:26	35
5	Antigua	22	9	7	6	34:29	34
6	Coban Imperial	22	8	8	6	29:22	32
7	Guastatoya	22	8	7	7	29:21	31
8	Marquense	22	9	3	10	25:29	30
9	Mictlan	22	7	6	9	25:36	27
10	Malacateco	22	6	4	12	19:25	22
11	Aurora F.C.	22	4	8	10	14:30	20
12	Deportivo Achuapa	22	5	4	13	17:32	19