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Marquense vs Suchitepequez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
01:10 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marquense host Suchitepequez in the Liga Nacional. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Suchitepequez have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Marquense have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Marquense slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.13) point toward Marquense. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Marquense
30%
Draws
12%
Suchitepequez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Marquense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Marquense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Marquense Clean Sheet 20%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marquense Suchitepequez
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Marquense
1:2
May 6, 2018 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Suchitepequez
2:1
Mar 8, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Marquense
0:0
Nov 5, 2017 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Suchitepequez
2:0
Sep 3, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Marquense
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marquense 85 / 100
Suchitepequez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marquense Suchitepequez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suchitepequez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Marquense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Marquense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marquense VS Suchitepequez
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marquense

(Home)
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Antigua
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
Page 1 of 6

Suchitepequez

(Away)
05 Oct
Comunicaciones
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 13 5 3 5 25:16 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Aurora F.C. 13 5 0 8 19:22 15
9 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
10 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)