Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan

Europe Europe

Conference League Marsaxlokk Ground
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Aguirre L. In: Bykov O.
Out: Aguirre L.
40'
Corbalan J. C.
41' Event
Yansane M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Conference League game between Marsaxlokk and Pyunik Yerevan finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pyunik Yerevan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Marsaxlokk
44%
Draws
20%
Pyunik Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Pyunik Yerevan haven't matched Marsaxlokk's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Marsaxlokk Clean Sheet 19%
Pyunik Yerevan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsaxlokk Pyunik Yerevan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Conference League
Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan
2-1
Apr 12, 2025 Conference League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
2-0
Mar 12, 2025 Conference League
Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan
1-1
Feb 12, 2025 Conference League
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
1-0
Jan 12, 2025 Conference League
Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan
1-1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marsaxlokk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Pyunik Yerevan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dashyan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovalenko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsaxlokk 36 / 100
Pyunik Yerevan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsaxlokk Pyunik Yerevan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PYU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marsaxlokk's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Marsaxlokk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pyunik Yerevan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marsaxlokk VS Pyunik Yerevan
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
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Rakow Czestochowa-
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Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan3
IFK Goteborg-
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Caernarfon0
Levadia5
Varazdin-
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Jablonec-
Bravo-
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Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo5
Shelbourne-
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Kalju1
Linfield0
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Noah-
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Dinamo Tirana0
FC Astana1
AF Elbasani1
BATE1
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HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva1
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LNZ Cherkasy-
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Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
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Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.0
FC Ballkani0
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Atletic Escaldes2
NSI Runavik1
Hamrun1
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Koper-
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La Fiorita0
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FK Sarajevo1
Inter Turku1
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Dinamo Tbilisi2
Petrovac1
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Differdange0
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Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
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IFK Goteborg-
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Varazdin-
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Shelbourne-
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Noah-
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Sion-
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HB Torshavn-
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Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
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Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
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Vaduz-
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Koper-
Partizan-
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Basaksehir-
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HJK-
Coleraine-
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Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
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GKS Katowice-
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Apollon Limassol-
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Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
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Dun. Streda-
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FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
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Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
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Rapid Vienna-
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CFR Cluj-
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Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
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