Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Marsaxlokk Ground

Pyunik Yerevan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marsaxlokk play Pyunik Yerevan in the Conference League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Marsaxlokk averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Pyunik Yerevan averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Marsaxlokk won 2, Pyunik Yerevan won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Marsaxlokk and 1.25 for Pyunik Yerevan. This points to a Marsaxlokk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Marsaxlokk

44%

Draws

20%

Pyunik Yerevan

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Marsaxlokk has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pyunik Yerevan.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
Cup tournament structure in Conference League increases high-stakes performance focus.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Marsaxlokk Clean Sheet 19%

Pyunik Yerevan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marsaxlokk	Pyunik Yerevan
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	13
Draws	7	8
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.63	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Conference League

Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-0

Apr 12, 2025 Conference League

Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1-1

Mar 12, 2025 Conference League

Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Feb 12, 2025 Conference League

Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

3-1

Jan 12, 2025 Conference League

Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marsaxlokk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Pyunik Yerevan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dashyan A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kovalenko M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsaxlokk 36 / 100

Pyunik Yerevan 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marsaxlokk Pyunik Yerevan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PYU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marsaxlokk scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Pyunik Yerevan let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Marsaxlokk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pyunik Yerevan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marsaxlokk VS Pyunik Yerevan

1.63 Goals Scored 0.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 50%

88% Over 2.5 13%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan3

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia5

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo5

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju1

Linfield0

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana0

FC Astana1

AF Elbasani1

BATE1

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva1

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.0

FC Ballkani0

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar1

Atletic Escaldes2

NSI Runavik1

Hamrun1

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen1

La Fiorita0

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo1

Inter Turku1

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Glentoran1

RFS2

TBD-

Decic0

FK Liepaja1

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

Dila Gori3

Virtus1

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

Mondorf1

Dinamo Tbilisi2

Petrovac1

Zalgiris3

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar1

Milsami1

Vikingur1

Stjarnan3

Differdange0

Ilves0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk0

Sileks1

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma1

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Alashkert1

Yelimay Semey1

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond1

Zira FK3

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

TBD-

Vaduz-

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

HJK-

Coleraine-

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

Zrinjski-

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

TBD-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Spartak Trnava-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-