Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
De Ketelaere C.
Penalty Missed
26'
26'
Lourenco E.
46'
46'
Sub
De Roon M. In: Pasalic M.
Out: De Roon M.
AI Match Summary
Atalanta in this Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atalanta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Marseille lately — more wins on the board than Atalanta.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Atalanta here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Marseille Clean Sheet 16%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marseille | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 5, 2025 Champions League
Marseille vs Atalanta
0:1
May 9, 2024 Europa League
Atalanta vs Marseille
3:0
May 2, 2024 Europa League
Marseille vs Atalanta
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marseille Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Atalanta Compare
Top Goalscorer Samardzic L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marseille 31 / 100
Atalanta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marseille Atalanta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ATA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marseille's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Atalanta has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Marseille remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Marseille VS Atalanta
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Marseille
(Home) 25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3 Nice
17 May
Marseille
3 : 1 Rennes
10 May
Le Havre
0 : 1 Marseille
02 May
Nantes
3 : 0 Marseille
26 Apr
Marseille
1 : 1 Nice
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3 Nice
17 May
Marseille
3 : 1 Rennes
26 Apr
Marseille
1 : 1 Nice
10 Apr
Marseille
3 : 1 Metz
22 Mar
Marseille
1 : 2 Lille
Page 1 of 3
Atalanta
(Away) 26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2 Arezzo
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Atalanta
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1 Bologna
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3 Atalanta
02 May
Atalanta
0 : 0 Genoa
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Atalanta
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3 Atalanta
27 Apr
Cagliari
3 : 2 Atalanta
18 Apr
AS Roma
1 : 1 Atalanta
06 Apr
Lecce
0 : 3 Atalanta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
