Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marseille vs Rennes

France France

Coupe de France Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Marseille Logo

Marseille

3 - 0
FT
Rennes Logo

Rennes

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gouiri A.
Assist: Weah T.
22'
Nwaneri E.
31'
Sub
Kamara G. In: Nagida M.
Out: Kamara G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Marseille
15%
Draws
46%
Rennes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rennes at 1.79 per game, Marseille at 1.62.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Marseille, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Marseille have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Marseille Clean Sheet 13%
Rennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille Rennes
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Marseille vs Rennes
3:1
Feb 3, 2026 Coupe de France
Marseille vs Rennes
3:0
Aug 15, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Marseille
1:0
May 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Marseille vs Rennes
4:2
Jan 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs Marseille
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marseille Compare

Top Goalscorer Gouiri A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Greenwood M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Rennes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille 30 / 100
Rennes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille Rennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rennes let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Marseille scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Marseille has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marseille VS Rennes
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille

(Home)
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3
Paris FC
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0
Marseille
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0
Strasbourg
14 Aug
Marseille
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid
09 Aug
Marseille
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6

Rennes

(Away)
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
30 Aug
Rennes
3 : 2
Le Mans
23 Aug
Rennes
2 : 2
PSG
15 Aug
Sunderland
2 : 1
Rennes
08 Aug
Rennes
2 : 4
Brentford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Saint-Brice Courcelles 1
FC Bogny 2
Camon 0
St. Maur Lusitanos 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
Thonon-Evian 0
FC Rhone Vallees 2
RC Grasse 1
Seyssinet 1
Aubagne FC 0
SS Allinges 1
Istres 2
SA Merignac 1
Colomiers 0
Trelissac 0
Pau 2
Stade Quimperlois 0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 9
St. Colomban Locmine 1
Guingamp 2
Le Cellier Mauves 0
Laval 6
Saint-Pauloise FC 1
Dominicaine 0
Espoir 1
Eveil 0
Challans 0
Pontivy 2
Sable 0
Saint-Malo 1
US Chateau-Malo 0
Bastia 6
Olympique Marcquois 5
Aire-sur-la-Lys 0
Longuenesse 0
FC Bondues 2
Touraine 2
Epernay 1
Aizenay 0
Troyes 3
Villars-l'Isle 1
Sarre Union 2
Pontarlier 2
Sochaux 3
Steenvoorde 2
Chambly 1
Loon Plage 1
Bethune 2
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
APM Metz 3
Fleury-Merogis 2
Cambrai 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 4
Yvetot 2
ASPTT Caen 1
Bayeux 3
Caen 2
Le Poinconnet 0
Romorantin 2
Blois Foot 41 2
Clermont 1
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mauguio Carnon 0
Selongey 1
Atlas Paillade 0
Bourg Peronnas 2
Cormontreuil 5
Porto Portugais 2
Us Premontre Saint Gobain 0
Chantilly 3
Wittenheim 2
Freyming 3
Besancon RC 4
Thionville 0
Pen Hir 1
Les Sables 2
Plouvorn 2
Vitre 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Pledran 0
Plabennec 2
Orvault 1
Les Herbiers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Pierrelatte 0
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Carnoux F.C. 5
Pirae 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montreuil 1
Bandrele 0
Granville 3
Dinan 1
Gouzon Avenir 1
Chauvigny 5
Lapalisse 1
Stade Poitevin 2
Le Havre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 2
GFC Ajaccio 1
Auby 0
Amiens SC 3
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avranches 1
Paris 13 Atletico 0
SA Beaumont 4
Aubervilliers 7
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ES Cappelle 2
Abbeville 3
Boulogne 2
Dunkerque 3
Saint-Jean 1
Angouleme CFC 0
Orleans 3
Bayonne 0
JA Drancy 0
Beauvais 1
Saint-Amand 0
Dieppe 3
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Montreal-la-Cluse 0
FC Chalon 3
ASPTT Dijon 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
FC 2 Rives 82 0
Mazeres 1
EBBE 0
Bordeaux 1
IC Croix 3
Racing Club de France 2
Etoile Matoury 1
Le Geldar 2
Avion 0
Torcy 2
OCPAM 0
Reims 1
Etoile Bobigny 1
Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2
Ivry 1
Le Mans 2
Saint-Meziery 1
Perigny 2
UES Montmorillon 0
Beaucouze 1
Cannes 1
Annecy 2
Olympique de Villefontaine 0
Grenoble 3
Sarreguemines 5
Furiani Agliani 3
GSA Tomblaine 0
Nancy 5
Seignosse Capbreton 2
Football Club Marmande 47 3
Bassin d'Arcachon 4
Blagnac 1
Andrezieux 1
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Savigneux Montbrison 3
Feurs 5
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moulien 2
AS Le Gosier 3
CMS Oissel 3
Quevilly 2
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fontenay 1
Chamalieres 0
Biars-Bretenoux 0
Chateauroux 2
Paris FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mutzig 0
Raon L Etape 3
Magenta 0
Mulhouse 3
Les Bleuets 0
Concarneau 3
St. Renan 0
Stade Briochin 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nord Lozere 4
Ecotay Moingt 5
Quetigny 1
St Etienne 3
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 2
Biesheim 3
Forbach 0
Red Star 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Auch 1
Canet Roussillon 4
Lavaur 1
Rodez 3
Montceau 2
L'Etrat La Tour 1
Agde 0
Montpellier 2
1/64-finals
FC Bogny 0
St. Maur Lusitanos 3
TBD -
Lille -
Lyon -
TBD -
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
FC Rhone Vallees 0
Seyssinet 0
Istres 2
SA Merignac 1
Pau 0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 0
Guingamp 4
Laval 6
Saint-Pauloise FC 0
Espoir 0
Pontivy 4
Saint-Malo 0
Bastia 1
Olympique Marcquois 2
FC Bondues 0
Touraine 0
Troyes 2
Sarre Union 0
Sochaux 6
Steenvoorde 0
Bethune 1
Lens -
TBD -
APM Metz 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 2
Yvetot 0
Bayeux 1
Romorantin 2
Blois Foot 41 3
Marseille -
TBD -
Selongey 2
Bourg Peronnas 3
Cormontreuil 1
Chantilly 2
Freyming 1
Besancon RC 0
Les Sables 2
Plouvorn 1
TBD -
Rennes -
Plabennec 1
Les Herbiers 2
TBD -
Angers -
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Carnoux F.C. 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montreuil 2
Granville 1
Chauvigny 4
Stade Poitevin 3
Le Havre -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 0
Amiens SC 4
Brest -
TBD -
Avranches 2
Aubervilliers 1
Strasbourg -
TBD -
Abbeville 0
Dunkerque 5
Saint-Jean 1
Orleans 2
Beauvais 1
Dieppe 2
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
FC Chalon 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Mazeres 3
Bordeaux 4
IC Croix 2
Le Geldar 1
Torcy 1
Reims 5
Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2
Le Mans 3
Perigny 3
Beaucouze 1
Annecy 1
Grenoble 2
Sarreguemines 3
Nancy 4
Football Club Marmande 47 0
Bassin d'Arcachon 1
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Feurs 1
Lorient -
TBD -
AS Le Gosier 3
CMS Oissel 2
PSG -
TBD -
Fontenay 4
Chateauroux 1
Paris FC -
TBD -
Raon L Etape 3
Mulhouse 2
Concarneau 1
Stade Briochin 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Nice -
TBD -
Ecotay Moingt 1
St Etienne 11
Biesheim 2
Red Star 1
TBD -
Metz -
Canet Roussillon 1
Rodez 0
Montceau 0
Montpellier 2
1/32-finals
St. Maur Lusitanos 0
Lille 1
Lyon 3
Saint-Cyr Collonges 0
Istres 1
SA Merignac 0
Guingamp 0
Laval 1
Pontivy 0
Bastia 1
Olympique Marcquois 1
Troyes 3
Sochaux 4
Bethune 2
Lens 3
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Bayeux 2
Blois Foot 41 1
Marseille 6
Bourg Peronnas 0
Chantilly 3
Freyming 0
Les Sables 0
Rennes 3
Les Herbiers 0
Angers 1
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Toulouse 2
Montreuil 2
Chauvigny 1
Le Havre 0
Amiens SC 2
Brest 1
Avranches 2
Strasbourg 2
Dunkerque 1
Orleans 3
Dieppe 0
Auxerre 1
Monaco 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Bordeaux 0
IC Croix 0
Reims 4
Le Mans 2
Perigny 1
Grenoble 1
Nancy 2
Bassin d'Arcachon 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Lorient 7
AS Le Gosier 0
PSG 4
Fontenay 0
Paris FC 3
Raon L Etape 0
Concarneau 3
Nantes 5
Nice 2
St Etienne 1
Biesheim 0
Metz 3
Canet Roussillon 0
Montpellier 1
1/16-finals
Lille 1
Lyon 2
Istres 0
Laval 2
Bastia 0
Troyes 2
Sochaux 0
Lens 3
Bayeux 0
Marseille 9
Chantilly 1
Rennes 3
Angers 1
Toulouse 2
Montreuil 2
Amiens SC 4
Avranches 0
Strasbourg 6
Orleans 1
Monaco 3
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Reims 1
Le Mans 1
Nancy 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Lorient 3
PSG 0
Paris FC 1
Nantes 1
Nice 2
Metz 0
Montpellier 4
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Laval 0
Troyes 2
Lens 4
Marseille 3
Rennes 0
Toulouse 1
Amiens SC 0
Strasbourg 3
Monaco 1
Reims 3
Le Mans 0
Lorient 2
Paris FC 0
Nice 3
Montpellier 2
Quarter-finals
Lyon 2
Lens 3
Marseille 2
Toulouse 3
Strasbourg 2
Reims 1
Lorient 0
Nice 1
Semi-finals
Lens 4
Toulouse 1
Strasbourg 0
Nice 2
Final
Lens 3
Nice 1