Sport Picks

France

Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Centre d'entrainement Robert-Louis-Dreyfus

Nantes W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marseille W play Nantes W in the Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Marseille W averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Nantes W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Marseille W won 0, Nantes W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 22, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Marseille W and 2.00 for Nantes W. This points to a Nantes W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Marseille W

20%

Draws

38%

Nantes W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Nantes W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Marseille W.
Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Marseille W.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Marseille W Clean Sheet 10%

Nantes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marseille W	Nantes W
Matches Played	33	32
Wins	13	19
Draws	4	5
Losses	16	8
Goals Scored	1.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women

Marseille W vs Nantes W

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Dec 14, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women

Nantes W vs Marseille W

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

Mar 24, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women

Nantes W vs Marseille W

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 0 - 1

3:2

Oct 22, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women

Marseille W vs Nantes W

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marseille W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Nantes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Khelifi L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Toloba A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille W 40 / 100

Nantes W 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marseille W Nantes W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marseille W scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Nantes W let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Marseille W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nantes W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marseille W VS Nantes W

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lyon W	22	19	3	0	76:11	60
2	Paris FC W	22	15	3	4	46:16	48
3	PSG W	22	15	2	5	48:26	47
4	Nantes W	22	12	5	5	42:34	41
5	Fleury 91 W	22	9	6	7	27:21	33
6	Dijon W	22	9	6	7	21:28	33
7	Strasbourg W	22	7	5	10	26:38	26
8	Le Havre W	22	5	6	11	25:45	21
9	Marseille W	22	5	4	13	26:44	19
10	Montpellier W	22	4	3	15	28:45	15
11	Lens W	22	4	3	15	20:50	15
12	St Etienne W	22	3	4	15	11:38	13