Sport Picks
Marske United vs Gainsborough
England
NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 
Match Events
22'
22'
Howe D.
61'
61'
Chimalilo D.
84'
84'
Kennedy J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 game between Marske United and Gainsborough finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marske United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gainsborough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gainsborough carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Gainsborough's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Marske United Clean Sheet 10%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marske United | Gainsborough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 27 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 27, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Marske United
0:0
Nov 25, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs Gainsborough
3:2
Feb 7, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Marske United
6:2
Oct 18, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs Gainsborough
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marske United Compare
Top Goalscorer Chimalilo D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kennedy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Gainsborough Compare
Top Goalscorer Howe D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marske United 22 / 100
Gainsborough 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marske United Gainsborough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Gainsborough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.
Marske United found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (10 games).
Marske United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Marske United VS Gainsborough
0 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Marske United
(Home) 05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0 Marske United
09 Jul
Marske United
1 : 2 Spennymoor
30 Dec
Marske United
0 : 2 Morpeth
26 Dec
Guiseley
2 : 3 Marske United
23 Dec
Marske United
1 : 0 Ashton United
Page 1 of 2
09 Jul
Marske United
1 : 2 Spennymoor
30 Dec
Marske United
0 : 2 Morpeth
23 Dec
Marske United
1 : 0 Ashton United
25 Nov
Marske United
3 : 2 Gainsborough
04 Nov
Marske United
0 : 1 Macclesfield
Gainsborough
(Away) 26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2 Avro
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4 Gainsborough
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
25 Aug
Quorn
2 : 2 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Radcliffe | 40 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 103:58 | 87 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 40 | 24 | 5 | 11 | 84:47 | 77 |
| 3 | Marine | 40 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 87:44 | 76 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 65:42 | 75 |
| 5 | Worksop | 40 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 72:49 | 70 |
| 6 | Hyde | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 68:48 | 67 |
| 7 | Ashton United | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 73:63 | 67 |
| 8 | Gainsborough | 40 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 66:63 | 63 |
| 9 | Lancaster | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 60:62 | 62 |
| 10 | Guiseley | 40 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 69:63 | 61 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 69:62 | 60 |
| 12 | Whitby | 40 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 60:50 | 56 |
| 13 | Morpeth | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 76:81 | 50 |
| 14 | United of Manchester | 40 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 55:77 | 48 |
| 15 | Matlock | 40 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 62:77 | 47 |
| 16 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 63:82 | 47 |
| 17 | Workington | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 67:81 | 44 |
| 18 | Basford Utd. | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 44:65 | 37 |
| 19 | Bradford PA | 40 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 50:85 | 30 |
| 20 | Stafford | 40 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 36:81 | 30 |
| 21 | Atherton Collieries | 40 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 47:96 | 25 |
| 22 | Marske United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
