Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marsouins vs Sainte Rose

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Marsouins
30%
Draws
62%
Sainte Rose
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sainte Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Sainte Rose have won more games recently than Marsouins.
  • Win probability leans Sainte Rose's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sainte Rose here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Marsouins Clean Sheet 14%
Sainte Rose Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsouins Sainte Rose
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.57 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Sainte Rose
1:1
May 11, 2025 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Marsouins
3:0
Aug 28, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Marsouins
2:1
May 8, 2022 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Sainte Rose
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsouins 10 / 100
Sainte Rose 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsouins Sainte Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sainte Rose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Sainte Rose's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Marsouins found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Marsouins stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marsouins VS Sainte Rose
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marsouins

(Home)
21 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
4 : 0
Marsouins
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Dominicaine
3 : 0
Marsouins
19 Oct
Marsouins
1 : 1
Saint Louis
12 Oct
Piton Saint-Leu
2 : 0
Marsouins
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Sainte Rose

(Away)
23 Nov
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Sainte Rose
09 Nov
Sainte Rose
4 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
02 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 2
Sainte Rose
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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