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Marsouins vs Sainte Rose

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Marsouins
6%
Draws
90%
Sainte Rose
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sainte Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sainte Rose have won more games recently than Marsouins.
  • Win probability leans Sainte Rose's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sainte Rose here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Marsouins Clean Sheet 14%
Sainte Rose Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsouins Sainte Rose
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Sainte Rose
1:1
May 11, 2025 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Marsouins
3:0
Aug 28, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Marsouins
2:1
May 8, 2022 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Sainte Rose
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsouins 10 / 100
Sainte Rose 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsouins Sainte Rose

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Sainte Rose's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Marsouins found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Marsouins stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marsouins VS Sainte Rose
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%