Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marstal/Rise vs Aalborg

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Helenius N.
33' Event
Helenius N.
36' Event
John K.

AI Match Summary

Aalborg in this Landspokal Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Marstal/Rise
20%
Draws
36%
Aalborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marstal/Rise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aalborg lately — more wins on the board than Marstal/Rise.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Aalborg taking it.
  • Aalborg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aalborg, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Marstal/Rise Clean Sheet 20%
Aalborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marstal/Rise Aalborg
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 0 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.74 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 Betano Pokalen
Marstal/Rise vs Aalborg
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marstal/Rise Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikkelsen M. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Aalborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Helenius N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader John K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marstal/Rise 16 / 100
Aalborg 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marstal/Rise Aalborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Marstal/Rise found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (19 games).

Solid form: Marstal/Rise remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aalborg
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marstal/Rise

(Home)
02 Sept
Marstal/Rise
1 : 6
Aalborg
07 Aug
Marstal/Rise
3 : 2
Tved
04 Aug
Saedding/Guldager IF
3 : 2
Marstal/Rise
11 Sept
Marstal/Rise
2 : 6
Aarhus
06 Aug
Marstal/Rise
5 : 3
Kolding BK
Page 1 of 4

Aalborg

(Away)
12 Sept
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Aalborg
05 Sept
AB Copenhagen
0 : 2
Aalborg
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
25 Aug
Vatanspor
2 : 1
Aalborg
21 Aug
Hobro
2 : 1
Aalborg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ringsted 7
Nykobing 6
LUIF 0
Skjold 7
Snejbjerg SG&I 0
Vejgaard 6
Marienlyst 1
Esbjerg 2
Vallensbaek 1
Nakskov 7
Fredensborg 1
Hellerup 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
Grenaa IF 0
Young Boys FD 3
Skibsby-Hojene IF 0
Aarhus Fremad 3
Boldklubben 1909 1
FC Sonderborg 0
Skovsgaard 2
Hobro 4
Ledoje-Smorum 1
BK Frem 0
Helsingor 0
Lyngby 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Mejrup GU 2
TRIF 1
Skodstrup SF 0
Thisted FC 2
ESPM 1
Tune 2
TBD -
Fredericia -
BV Oksbol 4
Billund 1
Bramming 3
SfB-Oure 2
Naesby 1
Horsens 2
TBD -
Viborg -
Holstebro 2
Odder 4
ASA Aarhus 1
Lyseng 2
Gorslev IF 2
Naestved IF 1
Kastrup 0
Roskilde 2
Husum BK 1
Holbaek 6
Ishoj IF 2
Fremad Amager 1
Skanderborg 4
Kjellerup 0
TBD -
Vejle -
Bornholm 0
Gentofte-Vangede 2
Allerod 2
Bronshoj 4
FC Bih Odense 2
FC Horsens 7
Norager 1
VSK Aarhus 6
Frem Sakskobing 1
Sundby 6
OKF 0
Vanlose 5
FC Kalundborg 1
Stenlose 0
TBD -
Odense -
Brondby Strand 2
Nerashte Ballerup 1
BK Viktoria 0
Hillerod 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Tarnby FF 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Hvidovre IF 4
Koge 3
Raklev 2
Avarta 0
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Marstal/Rise 3
Tved 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
Aalborg 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Farso Ullits 4
Norresundby 3
Chang Odense 0
Kolding BK 3
OKS Odense 2
Middelfart 3
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Brabrand 0
Skive 3
Odense KFUM 0
Kolding IF 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Rudersdal 1
AB Copenhagen 3
Alholm IF 0
Boldklubben 1893 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
1/32-finals
Ringsted 3
Skjold 1
Vejgaard 1
Esbjerg 2
Nakskov 0
Hellerup 4
TBD -
Randers FC -
Young Boys FD 1
Aarhus Fremad 6
Boldklubben 1909 0
Hobro 3
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Lyngby 2
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Mejrup GU 0
Thisted FC 4
Tune 2
Fredericia 4
BV Oksbol 4
Bramming 0
Horsens 0
Viborg 1
Odder 1
Lyseng 2
Gorslev IF 0
Roskilde 5
Holbaek 3
Ishoj IF 0
Skanderborg 0
Vejle 6
Gentofte-Vangede 3
Bronshoj 4
FC Horsens 0
VSK Aarhus 5
Sundby 3
Vanlose 2
FC Kalundborg 0
Odense 11
Brondby Strand 2
Hillerod 3
TBD -
Aarhus -
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Raklev 0
Sonderjyske 10
Marstal/Rise 1
Aalborg 6
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Farso Ullits 1
Kolding BK 2
Middelfart 1
Silkeborg 2
Skive 0
Kolding IF 2
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
AB Copenhagen 1
Boldklubben 1893 2
TBD -
Brondby -
1/16-finals
Ringsted 0
Esbjerg 1
Hellerup 1
Randers FC 2
Aarhus Fremad 1
Hobro 2
Lyngby 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Thisted FC 1
Fredericia 2
BV Oksbol 0
Viborg 6
Lyseng 4
Roskilde 3
Holbaek 2
Vejle 3
Bronshoj 3
VSK Aarhus 1
Sundby 0
Odense 3
Hillerod 1
Aarhus 2
Hvidovre IF 1
Sonderjyske 2
Aalborg 0
Midtjylland 3
Kolding BK 0
Silkeborg 5
Kolding IF 0
Nordsjaelland 2
Boldklubben 1893 1
Brondby 4
1/8-finals
Esbjerg 1
Randers FC 0
Hobro 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Fredericia 2
Viborg 3
Lyseng 0
Vejle 4
Bronshoj 0
Odense 3
Aarhus 2
Sonderjyske 1
Midtjylland 4
Silkeborg 0
Nordsjaelland 4
Brondby 2
Quarter-finals
Esbjerg 2
FC Copenhagen 6
Viborg 4
Vejle 2
Odense 2
Aarhus 3
Midtjylland 6
Nordsjaelland 3
Semi-finals
FC Copenhagen 4
Viborg 2
Aarhus 1
Midtjylland 2
Final
FC Copenhagen 0
Midtjylland 1