Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Martigues vs Bastia

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Moussiti-Oko B.
85' Event
Boutrah A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Martigues
30%
Draws
41%
Bastia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bastia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Martigues lately — more wins on the board than Bastia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Martigues Clean Sheet 20%
Bastia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martigues Bastia
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Bastia vs Martigues
0:0
Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Martigues
1:0
Oct 11, 2024 Club Friendly
Martigues vs Bastia
1:1
Aug 30, 2024 Ligue 2
Martigues vs Bastia
0:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Bastia vs Martigues
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martigues Compare

Top Goalscorer Moussiti-Oko B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Bastia Compare

Top Goalscorer Boutrah A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martigues 36 / 100
Bastia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martigues Bastia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bastia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Martigues found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

Solid form: Martigues remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Bastia let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bastia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Martigues

(Home)
26 Jul
Martigues
1 : 1
AC Ajaccio
10 May
Lorient
5 : 1
Martigues
02 May
Martigues
1 : 1
Paris FC
25 Apr
Guingamp
2 : 1
Martigues
18 Apr
Caen
0 : 3
Martigues
Page 1 of 5

Bastia

(Away)
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1
Bastia
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3
Versailles
14 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 1
Bastia
07 Aug
Bastia
0 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
31 Jul
Bastia
2 : 2
Annecy
Page 1 of 6