Sport Picks
Martina Calcio vs Francavilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group H 
Match Events
90'
90'
Diaw M.
AI Match Summary
Martina Calcio in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Martina Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Martina Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Martina Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Francavilla.
- Win probability leans Martina Calcio's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Martina Calcio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Martina Calcio | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Francavilla
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
1:2
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Francavilla
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Francavilla
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Martina Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaw M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Francavilla Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Martina Calcio 85 / 100
Francavilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Martina Calcio Francavilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Martina Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Martina Calcio scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.
Away concern: Francavilla has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Francavilla conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Martina Calcio VS Francavilla
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Martina Calcio
(Home) 04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0 Francavilla
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0 Francavilla
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1 Paganese
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
Page 1 of 4
Francavilla
(Away) 04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0 Francavilla
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Brindisi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1 Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1 Francavilla
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0 Francavilla
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1 Francavilla
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1 Francavilla
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2 Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 2 | Nocerina | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Bisceglie | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Turris | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Gravina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Real Normanna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Brindisi | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 11 | Real Forio 2014 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 12 | San Felice Gladiator | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Palmese 1914 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Melfi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Fidelis Andria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Ischia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
