Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Martina Calcio vs Matera

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Llanos A.

AI Match Summary

Martina Calcio in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Martina Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Martina Calcio
20%
Draws
46%
Matera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Martina Calcio have won more games recently than Matera.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Matera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martina Calcio Matera
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.98 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Matera
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Martina Calcio
1:2
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Martina Calcio
2:2
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Matera
2:0
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Martina Calcio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martina Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Llanos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Matera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martina Calcio 32 / 100
Matera 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martina Calcio Matera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Martina Calcio scored in 66% of their last 41 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Martina Calcio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Martina Calcio VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Martina Calcio

(Home)
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1
Paganese
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Citta di Fasano
1 : 0
Martina Calcio
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Matera

(Away)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)