Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Martinique vs Curacao

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 Stade Pierre-Aliker, Fort-de-France
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Labeau B.
Assist: Marny A.
50'
Corinus J.
61'
Gaari J.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Martinique and Curacao finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Martinique.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Martinique
30%
Draws
47%
Curacao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Curacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Curacao come out ahead of Martinique on wins alone.
  • Martinique are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Martinique Clean Sheet 16%
Curacao Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martinique Curacao
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Martinique vs Curacao
1:0
Jun 23, 2017 Caribbean Cup
Curacao vs Martinique
2:1
Oct 8, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Martinique vs Curacao
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martinique Compare

Top Goalscorer Labeau B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Curacao Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martinique 39 / 100
Curacao 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martinique Curacao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Martinique Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Curacao lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Martinique found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Curacao let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Martinique VS Curacao
0.33 Goals Scored 1.75
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Martinique

(Home)
29 Mar
Martinique
0 : 1
El Salvador
26 Mar
Martinique
2 : 2
Cuba
21 Feb
Martinique
0 : 2
Jamaica
18 Nov
Dominican Republic
0 : 0
Martinique
16 Nov
Martinique
0 : 2
Cuba
Page 1 of 6

Curacao

(Away)
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0
Curacao
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 3 0 1 10:9 9
3 Martinique 4 2 1 1 2:3 7
4 Guatemala 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Curacao 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
6 El Salvador 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 Honduras 4 2 1 1 8:1 7
3 Suriname 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
4 Cuba 4 1 2 1 1:4 5
5 Haiti 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
6 Grenada 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)