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Martinique vs El Salvador Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 Stade Pierre-Aliker, Fort-de-France
Martinique Logo

Martinique

1 - 0
FT
El Salvador Logo

El Salvador

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Marajo J.
Assist: Dussaut D.
40'
Sub
Marajo J. In: Polomat K.
Out: Marajo J.
63'
Sub
Alvarado E. In: Duenas E.
Out: Alvarado E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Martinique in this CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Martinique.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Martinique
20%
Draws
70%
El Salvador
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Salvador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

10% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to El Salvador lately — more wins on the board than Martinique.
  • Model gives Martinique a 10% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Martinique Clean Sheet 68%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martinique El Salvador
Matches Played 28 38
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Martinique
3:1
Mar 29, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Martinique vs El Salvador
0:1
Oct 18, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Martinique
0:0
Oct 13, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Martinique vs El Salvador
1:0
Jun 26, 2023 Gold Cup
El Salvador vs Martinique
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martinique Compare

Top Goalscorer Marajo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

El Salvador Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martinique 59 / 100
El Salvador 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martinique El Salvador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Martinique Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Martinique scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

El Salvador has conceded goals in 68% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Martinique went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Martinique VS El Salvador
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Martinique

(Home)
28 Sept
Suriname
2 : 1
Martinique
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1
Martinique
29 Mar
Martinique
0 : 1
El Salvador
26 Mar
Martinique
2 : 2
Cuba
21 Feb
Martinique
0 : 2
Jamaica
Page 1 of 6

El Salvador

(Away)
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0
El Salvador
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1
Martinique
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2
El Salvador
05 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0
El Salvador
03 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3
El Salvador
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 3 0 1 10:9 9
3 Martinique 4 2 1 1 2:3 7
4 Guatemala 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Curacao 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
6 El Salvador 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 Honduras 4 2 1 1 8:1 7
3 Suriname 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
4 Cuba 4 1 2 1 1:4 5
5 Haiti 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
6 Grenada 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)