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Martinique W vs Nicaragua W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Gaydu L.

AI Match Summary

The Gold Cup Women game between Martinique W and Nicaragua W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Martinique W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Martinique W
6%
Draws
90%
Nicaragua W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nicaragua W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nicaragua W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nicaragua W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Martinique W Clean Sheet 11%
Nicaragua W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martinique W Nicaragua W
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.60 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Nicaragua W vs Martinique W
1:1
Oct 26, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Martinique W vs Nicaragua W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martinique W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaydu L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Nicaragua W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martinique W 10 / 100
Nicaragua W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martinique W Nicaragua W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Martinique W found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (19 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Martinique W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nicaragua W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Martinique W VS Nicaragua W
1.4 Goals Scored 1
2.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guyana W650120:215
2Suriname W640217:212
3Antigua and Barbuda W61143:84
4Dominica W61142:304
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador W660024:218
2Martinique W62137:157
3Nicaragua W61235:115
4Honduras W61145:134
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic W650124:315
2Bermuda W641114:513
3Barbados W611411:194
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W61054:263