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Martos vs Comarca

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 game between Martos and Comarca finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Martos
20%
Draws
40%
Comarca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Comarca haven't matched Martos's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Martos Clean Sheet 20%
Comarca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martos Comarca
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.09 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Comarca
5:1
Dec 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Martos
0:3
Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Comarca
1:2
Sep 25, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Martos
0:1
May 7, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Martos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martos 31 / 100
Comarca 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martos Comarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Martos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comarca let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Martos found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Comarca lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Martos VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Martos

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0
Martos
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 7

Comarca

(Away)
17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Comarca
12 May
Comarca
3 : 1
Maracena
05 May
Comarca
0 : 3
Mancha
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1
Comarca
21 Apr
Comarca
1 : 1
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)