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Marumo Gallants vs Ubuntu Cape Town FC

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Makhubu W.
42' Event
Manqele E.
45' Event
Ndlondlo N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Marumo Gallants advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Marumo Gallants
39%
Draws
30%
Ubuntu Cape Town FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ubuntu Cape Town FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Ubuntu Cape Town FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marumo Gallants, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Marumo Gallants Clean Sheet 20%
Ubuntu Cape Town FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marumo Gallants Ubuntu Cape Town FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2019 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Marumo Gallants vs Ubuntu Cape Town FC
3:1
Dec 2, 2018 Nedbank Cup
Marumo Gallants vs Ubuntu Cape Town FC
3:0
Nov 11, 2018 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Ubuntu Cape Town FC vs Marumo Gallants
1:0
May 6, 2018 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Ubuntu Cape Town FC vs Marumo Gallants
3:1
Nov 4, 2017 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Marumo Gallants vs Ubuntu Cape Town FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marumo Gallants Compare

Top Goalscorer Makhubu W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manqele E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Ubuntu Cape Town FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marumo Gallants 32 / 100
Ubuntu Cape Town FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marumo Gallants Ubuntu Cape Town FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UBU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Marumo Gallants stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ubuntu Cape Town FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Marumo Gallants scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Marumo Gallants VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marumo Gallants

(Home)
23 May
Marumo Gallants
0 : 0
Stellenbosch FC
16 May
Polokwane City
1 : 1
Marumo Gallants
09 May
Marumo Gallants
1 : 1
Richards Bay
06 May
Marumo Gallants
1 : 1
TS Galaxy
25 Apr
Sekhukhune
1 : 1
Marumo Gallants
Page 1 of 7

Ubuntu Cape Town FC

(Away)
05 May
Ubuntu Cape Town FC
1 : 0
Royal Eagles FC
28 Apr
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
3 : 0
Ubuntu Cape Town FC
20 Apr
Ubuntu Cape Town FC
3 : 0
Witbank
13 Apr
Ubuntu Cape Town FC
5 : 0
Richards Bay
06 Apr
Marumo Gallants
3 : 1
Ubuntu Cape Town FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Golden Arrows-
TBD-
TBD-
Tjakastad Junior Shepard-
Durban City-
TBD-
Uthongathi0
Witbank1
Richards Bay1
Royal Eagles FC0
TBD-
Free State Stars-
Super Eagles-
TBD-
TBD-
Royal AM-
Cape Umoya United2
TS Sporting1
TBD-
Tshwane University-
NC Professionals-
TBD-
Stellenbosch FC0
Mbombela1
Jomo Cosmos2
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila0
TBD-
Baroka-
Umvoti-
TBD-
Cape Town Spurs2
TS Galaxy5
Chippa Utd.-
TBD-
TBD-
Mamelodi Sundowns-
Polokwane City-
TBD-
Ubuntu Cape Town FC0
Marumo Gallants3
Black Leopards-
TBD-
TBD-
Orlando Pirates-
Boyne Tigers-
TBD-
TBD-
Bidvest Wits-
Cape Town City-
TBD-
TBD-
Supersport Utd-
AmaZulu-
TBD-
TBD-
Highlands-
The Magic FC-
TBD-
Pretoria U.1
Swallows FC2
Tornado FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Kaizer Chiefs-
1/16-finals
Golden Arrows3
Tjakastad Junior Shepard0
Durban City2
Witbank3
Richards Bay2
Free State Stars1
Super Eagles1
Royal AM2
Cape Umoya United2
Tshwane University1
NC Professionals1
Mbombela2
Jomo Cosmos1
Baroka0
Umvoti1
TS Galaxy3
Chippa Utd.2
Mamelodi Sundowns1
Polokwane City1
Marumo Gallants2
Black Leopards2
Orlando Pirates1
Boyne Tigers0
Bidvest Wits4
Cape Town City2
Supersport Utd0
AmaZulu1
Highlands2
The Magic FC1
Swallows FC0
Tornado FC0
Kaizer Chiefs1
1/8-finals
Golden Arrows2
Witbank1
Richards Bay0
Royal AM1
Cape Umoya United1
Mbombela0
Jomo Cosmos0
TS Galaxy1
Chippa Utd.2
Marumo Gallants0
Black Leopards1
Bidvest Wits2
Cape Town City3
Highlands0
The Magic FC0
Kaizer Chiefs3
Quarter-finals
Golden Arrows2
Royal AM1
Cape Umoya United1
TS Galaxy2
Chippa Utd.5
Bidvest Wits4
Cape Town City0
Kaizer Chiefs2
Semi-finals
Golden Arrows1
TS Galaxy3
Chippa Utd.2
Kaizer Chiefs4
Final
TS Galaxy1
Kaizer Chiefs0