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Marupe vs FK Metta

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marupe host FK Metta in the Nakotnes liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Marupe at 2 goals for, 1.63 against; FK Metta at 3.63 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Marupe have won 0 to FK Metta's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2025, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.63, favoring FK Metta. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Marupe
6%
Draws
90%
FK Metta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Metta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FK Metta taking it.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe FK Metta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Latvian Cup
Marupe vs FK Metta
1:4
Feb 8, 2024 Club Friendly
FK Metta vs Marupe
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 10 / 100
FK Metta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe FK Metta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Marupe scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

FK Metta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Marupe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS FK Metta
2 Goals Scored 3.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334