Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marupe vs FK Metta

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Saleh S.
49' Event
Jallow S.
52' Event
Saleh S.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Marupe and FK Metta finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Metta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Marupe
15%
Draws
53%
FK Metta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Metta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on FK Metta taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Metta have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe FK Metta
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 22
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.52 3.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs FK Metta
0:4
Jul 13, 2025 Latvian Cup
Marupe vs FK Metta
1:4
Feb 8, 2024 Club Friendly
FK Metta vs Marupe
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FK Metta Compare

Top Goalscorer Saleh S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Jallow S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.24
Avg xA / game 1.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 10 / 100
FK Metta 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe FK Metta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Marupe's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

FK Metta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Marupe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS FK Metta
0.88 Goals Scored 4.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
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FK Metta

(Away)
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
16 Aug
Riga FC
4 : 1
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 19 14 3 2 36:21 45
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
8 Riga FC 2 19 7 3 9 28:36 24
9 Skanste 19 7 2 10 39:38 23
10 RFS 2 19 4 3 12 28:52 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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