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Marupe vs FK Metta

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025 Jaunmārupes stadions, Jaunmārupe
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Saleh S.
37'
Lusins K.
46'
Sub
Komorovskis K. In: Garais P.
Out: Komorovskis K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with FK Metta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Marupe
6%
Draws
90%
FK Metta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Marupe haven't matched FK Metta's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FK Metta taking it.
  • FK Metta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Metta, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • FK Metta have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe FK Metta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 2 2
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.75 3.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs FK Metta
0:4
Jul 13, 2025 Latvian Cup
Marupe vs FK Metta
1:4
Feb 8, 2024 Club Friendly
FK Metta vs Marupe
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarovs N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FK Metta Compare

Top Goalscorer Saleh S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bangura A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 10 / 100
FK Metta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe FK Metta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Marupe's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FK Metta has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Marupe has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS FK Metta
1.75 Goals Scored 3.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
18 Jul
Marupe
0 : 4
FK Metta
12 Jul
Marupe
0 : 1
Grobina
04 Jul
Marupe
2 : 1
FK Smiltene
27 Jun
Riga Mariners
2 : 0
Marupe
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2
Aliance
Page 1 of 6

FK Metta

(Away)
18 Jul
Marupe
0 : 4
FK Metta
10 Jul
FK Metta
3 : 1
Speks
04 Jul
FK Metta
3 : 1
Skanste
28 Jun
Leevon PPK
1 : 3
FK Metta
20 Jun
FK Metta
5 : 0
Kekava-Auda
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Speks-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Alberts-
Riga United-
TBD-
TBD-
SK Babite-
Iecava-
TBD-
TBD-
Kekava-Auda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Livani-
TBD-
TBD-
JFC Viola-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skanste-
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
Riga FC-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Kuivizu Spartaks-
TBD-
TBD-
Upesciema Warriors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga Mariners-
Valmiera8
FK Limbazi0
TBD-
FK Cesis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ogre United-
Plavinas-
TBD-
TBD-
Namejs-
Rigas Futbola Skola-
TBD-
TBD-
Bauskas / Memele-
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Augsdaugavas-
RSU-
TBD-
TBD-
LSPA-
Kuldigas/Goldingen-
TBD-
TBD-
Salaspils FK-
Dienvidkurzemes-
TBD-
TBD-
DSVK Traktors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leevon PPK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava-
TBD-
TBD-
Lielupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Talsi1
Aliance5
TBD-
Valka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
JFK Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
1/64-finals
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Speks4
FK Alberts3
Riga United6
SK Babite0
Iecava1
Kekava-Auda2
TBD-
Marupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Livani4
JFC Viola0
TBD-
Skanste-
Alberts JDFS-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
Riga FC-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Kuivizu Spartaks0
Upesciema Warriors5
TBD-
Riga Mariners-
Valmiera6
FK Cesis0
TBD-
Ogre United-
Plavinas4
Namejs0
Rigas Futbola Skola8
Bauskas / Memele0
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
TBD-
Augsdaugavas-
RSU5
LSPA1
Kuldigas/Goldingen2
Salaspils FK3
Dienvidkurzemes3
DSVK Traktors0
TBD-
Leevon PPK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava5
Lielupe0
TBD-
Rezekne-
Aliance9
Valka1
TBD-
JFK Ventspils-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
1/32-finals
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Speks0
Riga United3
Kekava-Auda0
Marupe3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Livani0
Skanste5
Alberts JDFS5
FK Smiltene3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Upesciema Warriors0
Riga Mariners3
Valmiera4
Ogre United3
Plavinas3
Rigas Futbola Skola2
AFA Olaine3
Augsdaugavas1
RSU0
Salaspils FK6
Dienvidkurzemes1
Leevon PPK2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava4
Rezekne0
Aliance0
JFK Ventspils6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
1/16-finals
Jelgava-
TBD-
TBD-
RFS-
Riga United0
Marupe3
TBD-
FK Metta-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Skanste1
Alberts JDFS2
TBD-
Super Nova-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
Riga Mariners4
Valmiera3
Plavinas3
AFA Olaine5
Salaspils FK4
Leevon PPK5
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Union / JFK Daugava1
JFK Ventspils3
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
1/8-finals
Jelgava0
RFS1
Marupe1
FK Metta4
FK Auda Riga1
Grobina0
Alberts JDFS1
Super Nova3
Riga FC4
Tukums 20000
Riga Mariners6
AFA Olaine1
Leevon PPK2
BFC Daugavpils4
JFK Ventspils0
FK Liepaja2
Quarter-finals
RFS3
FK Metta2
FK Auda Riga3
Super Nova1
Riga FC10
Riga Mariners0
BFC Daugavpils1
FK Liepaja2
Semi-finals
RFS0
FK Auda Riga2
Riga FC4
FK Liepaja0
Final
FK Auda Riga2
Riga FC1